Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Feather Laine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Famous Tutt | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Close Call | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Warrior | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Crew | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tresillian | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sand Creek | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pasa Doble | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redfortyseven | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Rainy Day | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prayforpeace | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tenth Street Don | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Team Gormley | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Saturdays | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Sacrifice | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Landlord | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Worth Looking | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Hot Rod | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mister Wayside | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Connors Outlaw | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bobwhite Bobby | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Okie Smoke | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frigerator | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tzedakah | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Amadora’s Empire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stubby | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imamidnightspecial | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belle Blaze | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flash Master | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arsonist | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Steel | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secured | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waver | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lightsoutscarlett | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Razors Edge | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Kisses | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Business as Usual | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kinky Moon | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Katies Spirit | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | West Texas Ruby | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cabo Cowgirl | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Say as I Say | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Foolish Affair | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kirbys Dewdrop | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandy Creek | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gettin Out of Here | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crystal Claire | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strikethreeyourout | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ilikeher | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | United Sister | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girls a Legacy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s a Bond Too | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Zohere | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Storm | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Attack | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carbone | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Galactic Core | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Mischief | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maverama | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beau Day | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aggie’s Creed | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wish Man | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bergheim | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Raise the Bar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grapnel | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Immelmann | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bettys Cash | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s All Ears | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Saturday | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hicko | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Renton | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Walter the Mason | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Grateful | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Richochet Rick | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Shanghai Cupid | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Most Probable | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Millie O Nayer | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kartwheel Kirby | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jimmy’s Pride | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Game Time Decision | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speak the Truth | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Indy Road | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.