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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 27, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Della Terra 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Naturally Blonde 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Tiger of the Sea 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Mendelssohns Angel 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Pavel’s Etoile 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Dialing Destiny 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Mia Pia 15.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Sparta F. C. 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Sally’s Wish 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Surfin Candy 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Cash’s Candy 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miracle Mark 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ghost of Midnight 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Grubauer 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Berlin Wall 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Code Duello 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Lawless World 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cashed 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Jacklyn Lucas 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Billie Holiday 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Final Table Lady 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Cash in Toknight 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tammy Baby 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (City Of Hope Mile S.) – City Of Hope Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Johannes 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Almendares (GB) 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Final Boss 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Cabo Spirit 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Zio Jo 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Scoobie Quando 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Provenance 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Army Man 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Rio Grande 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Plagarist 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Work 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 American King 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (John Henry Turf Championship S.) – John Henry Turf Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 1.50 1 2-1
6 6 Stay Hot 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Mondego (GB) 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Rastaman Vibe 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Spycatcher 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Balladeer 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Devil Among Us 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Four O Six Creed 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Hot Box 4.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Ballyvaughan Gig 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Supernal 5.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Tiger in My Tank 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Raging Waters 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Kahuna Magic 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Major Tom 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Eddie D S.) – Eddie D S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reef Runner 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Yellow Card 3.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 First Peace 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Nesso’s Lastharrah 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Sorrento Sky (IRE) 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Beyond Brilliant 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Kale’s Angel 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Mucho Del Oro 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Goodwood S.) – Goodwood S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 First Mission 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Full Serrano (ARG) 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Privman 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Gaming 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Ultimate Gamble 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Nevada Beach 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Express Train 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (John C. Harris S.) – John C. Harris S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Warming 3.50 1 2-1
12 12 Tight Squeeze 4.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Innovative 5.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Casalu 5.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Wink and a Grin 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Favor to You 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Eiffel 8.00 2.2 4-1
13 13 Miso Phansy 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Lee’s Baby Girl 15.00 4 8-1
3 3 Schilflied 30.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Practical Dream 30.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 A Thousand Miles 50.00 13 25-1
7 7 Donttellourwives 50.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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