Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Remi’s Moon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lured Away | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summonyourcourage | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bermuda Blitz | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Killjoy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Aspen | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bushido | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Xperiment | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pair of Socks | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gilded Ruler | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bebedouro | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nabokov | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Couperin | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gilmore | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Welaka | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unlimitedpotential | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brazenly | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Yo | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Some Mo | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alternate Reality | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greers Ferry | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Easy Wind | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Judicial Review | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm’s Wake | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swamp King | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Dutch | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Stubborn Lassie | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vulcan’s Boots | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shake and Rattle | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | East Village | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smols | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tres Soles | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Nun | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Icarus | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sant’ Antimo | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ember | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Category Ten | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sittin On Go | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paynter’s Canvas | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noahs Ark | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mister Banderas | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hephepcutdownnets | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Campaign Trail | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Belong Here | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Prince | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ky Do Declare | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Du Monde | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Major Mack | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Rog | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mubarez | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Practically Famous | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’tmindifido | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bet the Gray | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Easy Kiss | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grazie Prego | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diva Calling | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muriel Sax | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Linked Up | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bective Abbey | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tizmatic | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Rainbow | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mare’s Music | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Not This Boy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catching Freedom | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | This Is Uscar | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kupuna | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Russell | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Day and Age | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mesero | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foligno | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show of Force | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coco Cool | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Optical | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just a Fair Shake | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Innately Good | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mission Improbable | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vaporetti | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Incredibolt | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time to Strike | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carson Street | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Large Risk | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Graced | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Gun | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mountain Grandeur | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sartorial | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saudi Panther | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.