Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Running Rio | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ms. Laobanniang | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ariel Moon | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Question | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Query | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Granuaile | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Respect the Law | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Born Charmer | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Honey Bee | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A P M Notion | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Collected Dreams | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ade | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Sand | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Freeze | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Papacito | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Ham Sandwich | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pencil Me In | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pippin the Warrior | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Kid | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Scholar | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Estrela | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Practical Romance | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Learning to Fly | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy This Day | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ecliptical Gina | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steam Knot | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Rocket | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Bear | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Infastuation | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Octet | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fabia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Valerie Street | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tierra Santa | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit and Truth | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Littlegirljustice | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Feel the Bolt | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta Be Da Shoes | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | God Willing | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ladsfirstlove | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Candycrumbs | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Who Says So | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Issano | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Boy Blaze | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Box of Rockets | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twice Gold | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Repeatingofcourse | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buthespretty | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skylar’s Brother | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Danner | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chimney Sweep | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stanza | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Serendipitymonday | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Katmandu | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Luca Machine | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bald Cypress | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Long Straw | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thunder Cry | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Star Atlas | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Commish | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Showpiece | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Summerinthecountry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speed Figures | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Swill | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Saxton | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tidewater | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Where’s Ray | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Maya Prince | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Lucci | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Dar | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Nothing Better | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tenebris | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Quick Tempo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Take a Hint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Monsieur Candy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Z Og | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bolt of Aurum | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Reply | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backstretch Rose | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rowsie Express | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Audibly | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meg | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghee for the Win | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | How Sweet She Is | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Whirl | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gogo Chanel | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stop Watch | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Worth a Dime | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shine On Moon | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dead Sexy | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ballroom Eyes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Baby Sox | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Stars Align | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Grey Humor | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hail No | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wikolia Lady | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Intel Agent | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Not Cuz It’s Easy | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Kinda Mischief | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Julia’s a Fox | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Always a Rye | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Louvar | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mae Be Mae | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Holy Brick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cayuga | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Collected Mist | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Need a Miracle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nancy’s Notion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.