Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holy Mirage | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amore Mio | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sanhedrin | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fire and Wine | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Rambo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Balboni’s Crew | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ethnic Soul | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Decision | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Countryboysurvive | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isaac Leo | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conacher | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Globetrotting | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good King Sam | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blondina’s Boy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prime Plus One | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ella It Is | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blameless Ghost | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bedazzle Me | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Trick | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Giffen | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Pierre | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quadzilla | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Digital Security | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Category Five | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rainbows Hero | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celestial Heart | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Potato | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dri Saddle | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fog d’Oro | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bee Me | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Highly Potent | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Hunting | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Weaver | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Card | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Signature Sir | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scant’s Dynaformer | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reloaded Form | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strawberry Again | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Bourbon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Piper’s Factor | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hunt Master | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Never Surprised | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rapid Test | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Strategy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Reload’s Rascal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Souped Up | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Speights Will | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fleet of Foot | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apeldoorn | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Capo | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wonderful Quality | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ideologist | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catch the Ace | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gelato | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Instant Response | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Friendly Ghost | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Commander | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Peak | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hanlan | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Last American Exit | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pat’s Gamble | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Screen | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deputy Daddy | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Armstrong | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mannix (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Breeders’ S.) – Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tom’s Magic | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faber | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sedburys Ghost | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scat Girl | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ciunas | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D’aurum | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aristella | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Borealis Trail | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Watsonville Red | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Old Chestnut | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runnin’ Rocket | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Garden of War | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Teddy | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Babbo | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Society’s Thunder | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poseidon Steel | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rat Portage | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Philip Banks | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glasweigian | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roar of the Crowd | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paynes Spirit | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Has Diamonds | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday’s Well | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Danger | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Rainbow | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Demba | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mymathes Correct | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.