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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 2, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Oscar Bound 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Caitlins Threes 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Peace of Gold 12.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Rest Ashore 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Tapit Back 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Rouge Grandeur 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Coola Boola 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jet Off 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Omaha Storm 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Jubilee Parade 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Underbidder 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Copa de Plata 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Bellamy 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Capo Di Tutti 10.00 5 10-1
2 2 Bold Statement 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Kaz Brio 30.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Glavine 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crushed It 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Tarpaulin 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Notah 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Flying Liam 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Mighty Atlas 10.00 4 7-1
5 5 Celestial Glaze 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Free Dance 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Tahoe Sunrise 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Behold the King 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Epic Desire 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Dynadee 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Special Envoy 2.50 6 11-1
7 7 Chambersville 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Oban 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Phnom Penh 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Fleet N Ready 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Stream It 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Gaborone 12.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Senior Lender 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Matron S.) – Matron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Just Philtored 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Royal Testament 3.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Catalonia 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Snappy Comeback 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Should’ve 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Final Accord 6.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Bella Knows 15.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Y’allreadyforthis 30.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Believe in Magic 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Oscar’s Encore 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Valala 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Snow Face Princess 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Master of Arms 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Forgiving Spirit 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Fitzpatrick 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Rabbit Hound 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Manta Rey 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Honorary Degree 30.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Gun Maestro 50.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Gatsby 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Graywing 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Avenue Niel (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Immensitude (FR) 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Grayosh 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tour Jete 15.00 3 6-1
9 9 Brocknardini 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Fantasy Performer 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Fun With Flags (IRE) 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Allamericanbeauty 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Temple City Taboo 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Garden of Grace 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Tahila 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Five Dozen Roses 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Fifi La Fume 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Froghollowsummer 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Purest Performance 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Amelia 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Argentiera 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Deflection Point 30.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Bourbon Slip 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 In Fact Sheza Zask 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Stormy Central 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Rare Society 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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