Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Indy Label | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nerazurri | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Ellary | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Had That One Too | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ladan | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Lala | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All About Alice | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fame Chaser | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zucchero | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Audible | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alexander K | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Magic | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | State Conceal | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vino Subito | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frosted Warrior | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Cab On the Rocks | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romantic Ride | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Free Choice | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mountain High | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sneakily | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trust Account | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Live Your Dreams | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turner’s Charm | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Atlantic Beach | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Last Curtain Call | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Menkaure | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ginger Ale | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Backgammon | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Riotous | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skordalia | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Empress Sisi | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Runway Rebel | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justa Rebel | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Donna Romano | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingsolver | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sweetheart | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spa Prospector | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prowess | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz in Sight | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Annie’s Allie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fond of You | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Final Shipman | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Divine Justice | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nu What’s New | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Barb | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morlock | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hitchcock | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Crazy Diamond | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzou | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bob Mo | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucius Verus | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trouble Ahead | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ripped | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In the Stars | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Cliffs | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hear the Queen | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Modern Sound | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Gamble | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eunomia | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Exclusive Star | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Caitlin Time | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whippoorwill | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kake’s Tap Dancer | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lookster | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dashin’ Diva | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Sheila’s Lion | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Sexy Blonde | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romany Road | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Native Rose | 50.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix S.) – Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | World Record | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nakatomi | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skelly | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whatchatalkinabout | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Here Mi Song | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Durante | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland Sales
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Time to Dream | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mackinac | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Infinite Sky | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Dyna | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lit Ship | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aggressive Lime | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Soloist | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Imaginationthelady | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carolyncaroline | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Loveliest | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Room | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red Beretta | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victor Help Me | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diablo Shiraz | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Darley Alcibiades S.) – Darley Alcibiades S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tommy Jo | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Percy’s Bar | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haute Diva | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Grumpy Rabbit | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go to Girl | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wonzee Weather | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Market Chill | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Ballad | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Ocala Gala | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raiding Party (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Watermelon | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empress New Groove | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Vain | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cove Spring | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dare to Impress | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Scarlet Wave | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inkling | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Minstrelly | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Island Girl | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lotta Alpha | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.