Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Indy Label | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All About Alice | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Had That One Too | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Ellary | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Lala | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ladan | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nerazurri | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Audible | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | State Conceal | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fame Chaser | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Magic | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frosted Warrior | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Free Choice | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zucchero | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mountain High | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vino Subito | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alexander K | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Cab On the Rocks | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romantic Ride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Turner’s Charm | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Last Curtain Call | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ginger Ale | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trust Account | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Menkaure | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Empress Sisi | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Atlantic Beach | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Riotous | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Live Your Dreams | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Justa Rebel | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skordalia | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Runway Rebel | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sneakily | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Backgammon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kingsolver | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Donna Romano | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fond of You | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Sweetheart | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prowess | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spa Prospector | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz in Sight | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Final Shipman | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Annie’s Allie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Barb | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morlock | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hitchcock | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Justice | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ripped | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nu What’s New | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bob Mo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Crazy Diamond | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trouble Ahead | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucius Verus | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzou | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hear the Queen | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Exclusive Star | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Native Rose | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In the Stars | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eunomia | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lookster | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whippoorwill | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Modern Sound | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kake’s Tap Dancer | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romany Road | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dashin’ Diva | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Sexy Blonde | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Gamble | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cliffs | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Caitlin Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sheila’s Lion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix S.) – Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Skelly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whatchatalkinabout | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nakatomi | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | World Record | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Durante | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Here Mi Song | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland Sales
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Time to Dream | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Soloist | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carolyncaroline | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Loveliest | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Imaginationthelady | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mackinac | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aggressive Lime | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lit Ship | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Infinite Sky | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red Beretta | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victor Help Me | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Room | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dyna | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Diablo Shiraz | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Darley Alcibiades S.) – Darley Alcibiades S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tommy Jo | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Percy’s Bar | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Grumpy Rabbit | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haute Diva | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go to Girl | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wonzee Weather | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beach Ballad | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cove Spring | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Market Chill | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lotta Alpha | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Vain | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Island Girl | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empress New Groove | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raiding Party (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inkling | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dare to Impress | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Watermelon | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scarlet Wave | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ocala Gala | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Minstrelly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.