Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Grace | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hypergamy | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conquistadora | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Numbers | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Island Home | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flamingo Star | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Springline | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Authentically | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Latte Luv | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fortunate Truth | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mama Glows | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Yurak | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mystic Flyer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jarama | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cupid’s Crusader | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zombo Bombo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Navy Man | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Invincible | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Breakout | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Proof He Rides | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doncic | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Aza Tack | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daniel’s Magic | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harcyn | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rexford | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tougherthantherest | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Liberation | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cara Rose | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lino’s Angel | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Kat | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Lady | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Victoria | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crunchy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ms Brightside (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady of Power | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Demps | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tavolara | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Other Like You | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Oasis | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Heiress | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lita Way | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ready to Dare | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lady Rider | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Toppers At Seaside | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ballyhooligan | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lean Music Machine | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Crossrighthands | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Honor the Cat | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tap and Go | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Djoser | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Springs | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | At the Post | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Maxville | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | R Awesome Kid | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Magaton Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Twilight Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Far Over Loaded | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Broski (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Style Cat | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tariff | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drop Um | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tempus Volat | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Septembersixtyfour | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mythical Reel (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maaz (FR) | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Earned Not Given | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No More Ding Dongs | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Machupicchu | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Cronin | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ario | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ya’ll Come | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Last Call Paul | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Rain | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Smokin Dude | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Targaryis | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Runamileinmyshoes | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Joker | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Issa Court | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Monclaire | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Lake | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nanci Griffith | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Illhaveanotherkiss | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Will | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dontmesswithtess | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breve | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | How About Pavel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.