Site icon Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Andtheomofthebrave 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Glorious Life 3.50 3.4 6-1
11 11 Titanic Thompson 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Otro Mas 30.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Grazed 4.50 4.5 8-1
9 9 Cullen J 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Midnite Musket 15.00 5 9-1
12 12 Check’s On the Way 5.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Pokerknightatvees 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Gold Council 50.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Clever Clover 30.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Frank Bullitt 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Chillingworth S.) – Chillingworth S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silent Law 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Baela 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Ang N Ash 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Tamara 1.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Chismosa 3.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse) – American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Desert Gate 1.50 1 2-1
4 4 Civil Liberty 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Balboa 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Intrepido 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Kristofferson 1.80 5.7 11-1
3 3 Plutarch 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cuban Confusion (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Charge for Gold 10.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Russells Hustle 6.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Yacowlef (IRE) 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Takes Three 8.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Flashiest 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Suchet (FR) 3.50 8.2 16-1
6 6 Annan 10.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Big Bet Jafinsafa 15.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Kansas Cat (ARG) 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Southern Melodee 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tommy Norris 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 My Bodacious Boy 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Forever Ben 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Tamarando Beach 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Tiggrrr Whitworth 15.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Oracle of Paradise 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Cruise Home 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Need Mo Diamonds 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Kid Kayak 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Falcon Jet 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Honey’s Choice 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Conducted 4.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Classico 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Biggiebiggiebiggie 30.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Here’s Some More 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Whynotanotherone 30.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Azario 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 People Are Talkin 15.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Whole Shebang 30.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Keagman (IRE) 30.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Medici 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Charlie’s Curlin 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Can’t Help Myself 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Stay for the Boom 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ocean Bear 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Pavlovian 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Fionello 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Wreckless Rhett 30.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Saul Elliott 4.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Jalisco 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Fumano’s Magic 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Rodeo Drive S.) – Rodeo Drive S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starry Heavens (IRE) 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mission of Joy 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Alpha Bella 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Amber Cascade 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Hang the Moon 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Watchtower 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Long Ago (GB) 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Speed Shopper 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Oak Leaf S. Presented By Oak Tree Racing Association) – Oak Leaf S. Presented By Oak Tree Racing Association

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Explora 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 La Wally 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Himika 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 La Ville Lumiere 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Banzai Betty 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Heaven’s Bolt 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Speakeasy S.) – Speakeasy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Later Than Planned (IRE) 10.00 1 2-1
2 1 Twilight Delight 3.00 3 6-1
4 3 Queen Bay 20.00 3.5 7-1
12 11 Thirsty Rebel 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Bourbon and Ginger 15.00 4 8-1
10 9 Arkadelphia 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Dirty Rich 10.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Brigante 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Ventry Strand 4.50 5.1 10-1
8 7 Bacio 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 A. P. Again 20.00 7.3 14-1
13 12 Sendit Mo 12.00 8.6 16-1
1 98 Schwarzenegger 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version