Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J Rivers | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just an Opinion | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yuma’s Shadow | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Dig | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St. Albans Raid | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rocio | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie’s Love | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Rose Rockin | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tartaria | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | What’s Up Dog | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | G Rocks | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zoomaha | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Mo Magic | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silvertown | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warm Up the Bus | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | P. O. S. H. Posh | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mamarsha | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rotisserie | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzlin | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Veronicaforthewin | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | A Little Patience | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Business | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lady Ashanta | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Waves of Mischief | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sultry Lass | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapit Quick | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sudden Switch | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flash Wear | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Costa Amalfitana | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Alyssa | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Xtreme Smoke Show | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Patrol Squad Six | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drop Shot | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Kid Charlemagne | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Thousandsticks | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tribalism (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eva Ready | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Epic Horsepower | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Versailles Road | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Clark’s Corner | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gotcha | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon’s Law | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Honors | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Money | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | David’s Kitten | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Graceful Standard | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apollo’s Glory | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bella Ballerina | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elite | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Debbie Doll | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Determined Ace | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Llamp | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jolly Jolene | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Buckeye Favorite | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Acquazurra | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Completely Elegant | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Berlinwin | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Karma Wins | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Proud Starlet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamaway | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kuwaitya (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rich City Girl | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Civetta | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noquestionaboutit | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brindi (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justinqueso | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grade A | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Multiplication | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | G W’s Girl | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ninth Island | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Paradise | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sneaky Good | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paige Turner | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Holly Hetty | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allison Avenue | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raging Current | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Betty’s Pearl | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Spring | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red Raze | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rift | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lockdownyourtown | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chiquita’s Way | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Indian Summer S. Presented By Keeneland Select) – Indian Summer S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bobrovsky | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Schwarzenegger | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Obliteration | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Azizam (GB) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rogue Legend (GB) | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twilight Delight | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trendsetter | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zeus’s Echo | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Bucky | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Juddmonte Spinster S.) – Juddmonte Spinster S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thorpedo Anna | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nitrogen | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scylla | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gin Gin | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chilled | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Castle & Key Bourbon S.) – Castle & Key Bourbon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Final Score | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exonerate | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vintur | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Casa Cielo | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dr. Agne | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Connection | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Repentless | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turf Star | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Password | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blinging It Back | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J J Grey | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gordon Pass | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.