Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bobby Brinkley | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skipper’s Pride | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brother Reid | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rodeo Champ | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sivako | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gabarra | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cinco Richie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ti Caillou | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of Spoatie | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Singing Dixie | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sarge’s Sermon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Illustrator | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | City Ghost | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Star Parking | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charmonte | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mamashavnahotflash | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Aflutter | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paula M | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Let Her Buck | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chrome Baby | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ethical Judgement | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Summerbird | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shadowless | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miami Moonlight | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Am Grodd | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Letshaveonemore | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Royalamerican | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Down Periscope | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shelley’s Secret | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Okie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | A Wild Posse | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sagebrush Runner | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ztwentyeight | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Town Gold | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pontotoc | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King of Samurai | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gospel War Cry | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quality Chic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Terka | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Without a Trace | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coffee Caliente | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Dawn | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brucelea | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | News At Nine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lloyds Logic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Imua Kai | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Warm Days | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Avalon Girl | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pondicherry | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suprising Code | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Woman’s Intuition | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Villainy | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Writ | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Spellbound | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Daretocatchlove | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Brock On By | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Derby Date | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twelve Volt | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Perliano | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stans Home Run | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Fort Hood | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barefoot Samurai | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Johnny Appleseed | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clements Ride | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royally | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hamazing Wisdom | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Worlds | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Jack | 50.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Absaroka | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Slew Skies | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ship of Dreams | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Annie One Sock | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Iris | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Everyone Nos Wendy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amarona Sioux | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ship Her West | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Knockout | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Powerwashed | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Joyful Image | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Let’sgojlo | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wishful Winker | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Wilhelmina | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Subject | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oh My Vron | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Ama | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Our Girl Flint | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Grand Circle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stir Up Desire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.