Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brother Reid | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skipper’s Pride | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Illustrator | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bobby Brinkley | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rodeo Champ | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cinco Richie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gabarra | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sivako | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sarge’s Sermon | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Singing Dixie | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ti Caillou | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of Spoatie | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rock Star Parking | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | City Ghost | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charmonte | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mamashavnahotflash | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Aflutter | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Let Her Buck | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paula M | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chrome Baby | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ethical Judgement | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Letshaveonemore | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Summerbird | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miami Moonlight | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shadowless | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am Grodd | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Royalamerican | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Down Periscope | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Okie | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Wild Posse | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Town Gold | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ztwentyeight | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shelley’s Secret | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pontotoc | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gospel War Cry | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | King of Samurai | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sagebrush Runner | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quality Chic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Without a Trace | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brucelea | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | News At Nine | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imua Kai | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Dawn | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Terka | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coffee Caliente | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lloyds Logic | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Suprising Code | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Villainy | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avalon Girl | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warm Days | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pondicherry | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woman’s Intuition | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Writ | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Spellbound | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daretocatchlove | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Derby Date | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twelve Volt | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brock On By | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barefoot Samurai | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Fort Hood | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hamazing Wisdom | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Slew Skies | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Perliano | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Absaroka | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stans Home Run | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Johnny Appleseed | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royally | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Worlds | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clements Ride | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Jack | 50.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ship of Dreams | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ship Her West | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annie One Sock | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amarona Sioux | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Iris | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Everyone Nos Wendy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Oh My Vron | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Knockout | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Powerwashed | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joyful Image | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Wilhelmina | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Subject | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wishful Winker | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Grand Circle | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Ama | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stir Up Desire | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Let’sgojlo | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Our Girl Flint | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.