Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Appeal | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Possum | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Fancy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trotsky | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Confiscated | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lex | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Improbable | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roxton | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Airman Trevor | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | West Side Diva | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cynthia Gail | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alice Fantastic | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Centsation | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faux Pas | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Refined Elaine | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brookie’s Circus | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | River’s Gamble | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carcharoth | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Composer | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Deivys | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | God Is Life | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheer Dominance | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magical Road | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shouldhavebeengone | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Takemetothemoon | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Checkitup | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Humble Joe | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fluff the Pillow | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Lion | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | English Painter | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rob the Rich | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Porter | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mega Charlie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sal N Louie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arak | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Money | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Marco | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | New Commission | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cool Million | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sams After Party | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lion in the Sun | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Devil | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rons Gone Wrong | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rogue Prince | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Penn Franklin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gunman Jayvo | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outmaneuver | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fast Bob | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neigh Dude | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Roundtree | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Pappy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tatum | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No No Joe | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nicole’s King | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlins Cruzin | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sam Wheat | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Centre Court Champ | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cocoa’s Vivian | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Uptown Girl | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Q | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dewey Doit | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor Abbie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aoife’s Magic | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Preach It Warrior | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guaio | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Just Be Honest | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Knight | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Darvesh | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zoppi Fischbein | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mendelsfly | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Nixon Joy (ARG) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Badbadbobby | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pontiac | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty Runner | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Noneedtoworry | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vin Santo | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.