Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Confiscated | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lex | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trotsky | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Appeal | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Airman Trevor | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Improbable | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Possum | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roxton | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Fancy | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brookie’s Circus | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alice Fantastic | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | West Side Diva | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Refined Elaine | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Faux Pas | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Centsation | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cynthia Gail | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Great Composer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carcharoth | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Deivys | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | River’s Gamble | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheer Dominance | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | God Is Life | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magical Road | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shouldhavebeengone | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fluff the Pillow | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Lion | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takemetothemoon | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Checkitup | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Humble Joe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | English Painter | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mega Charlie | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Money | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Porter | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arak | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rob the Rich | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sal N Louie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Marco | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | New Commission | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lion in the Sun | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Million | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gunman Jayvo | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Devil | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rons Gone Wrong | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sams After Party | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Penn Franklin | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outmaneuver | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rogue Prince | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No No Joe | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tatum | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neigh Dude | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Bob | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Pappy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Roundtree | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sam Wheat | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nicole’s King | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlins Cruzin | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Centre Court Champ | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aoife’s Magic | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Uptown Girl | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Q | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dewey Doit | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cocoa’s Vivian | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor Abbie | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Guaio | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Preach It Warrior | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zoppi Fischbein | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Noneedtoworry | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nixon Joy (ARG) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pontiac | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Darvesh | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty Runner | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Knight | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Be Honest | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Badbadbobby | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vin Santo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mendelsfly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.