Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cantaro | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enforcer | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brindisi | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ikigai | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ego Man | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Six Whips | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Lute | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Track of My Tears | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pam Pam | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jess’s Moment | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zoning Order | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Battling Time | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wow Lucky | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noisy On the Bay | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Punch and Judy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In the Biz | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Valentine | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wanting Attention | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Isabel | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Fancy Free | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Real Blues | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Can Do Magic | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chineseiam | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Harry | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starlord | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unswayed | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jaa Mode | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amatteroftime | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wizard Serrat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rackataptap | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chip’s Friend | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | October Bliss | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jigsaw | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden Purchase | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Financial Strength | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Youbetterbejoking | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Omaha Eight | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zippy Gizmo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Modern Midas | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Immense Faith | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alastar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joy Boy | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of the Cross | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lorden’s Pride | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nomowineforyou | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Manhattan | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Larry | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Concarneau | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quick to Judge | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Morning Matcha | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pachelbel | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jeanne Marie | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nature’s Candy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing On My Own | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eclair Blanc | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pearls and Heels | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Happily Delusional | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bottles | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bring Me a Check | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent Mile | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | L Golden Boy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smile Maker | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Mode | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hermoso Hombre | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Strand Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Planet | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Tenor | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Lucas | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | One Last Kiss | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fourty Four | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Checking Boxes | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fortheloveofrun | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stillwater Moon | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fastidious | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aves Makin’ Waves | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.