Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Protective | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Pants | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scottish Storm | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Bali | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Money | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Andy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anthonian | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Palagio | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Didn’t It Rain | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Voyage | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Volatile Nite | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Purple and Gold | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Grammy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bit of Frost | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Complex Trick | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloud Number Nine | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Real Nice Surprise | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belongtothenavy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Laughnowcrylater | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overstatement | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bettera | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Dinero | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ultimate Strike | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Look to the Cross | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polar Bear Plunge | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Batter Up | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tingus Pingus | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Consequential | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Is Okay | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Stepnoski | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Psalmist | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tully | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Tisum | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | C. P. A. Jim | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caprio | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Red Speedo | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Otzelberger | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brock’s Boy | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bagg O Time | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled’s Map | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonwalk | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Aguila Negra | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Magnolia Midnight | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trident Hit | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Castle Island | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eastside Cool | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inexorable | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Manfredi | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outlier | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eye Witness | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Saffer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blast Furnace | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Sovereign | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Founders | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kicking Clear | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crystal Hill | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abbi Fede | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tapitown | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power of Will | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Feeling Grand | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bisou | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Sliceof Heaven | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | No What Ifs | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Go Go | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Called | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Sure | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canal Street | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tickin Time Blonde | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belle Ofthe Dance | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cameo Performance | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mountain Bear (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gilded Craken | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Stoked | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wyoming Bill | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | English Chunnel | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Trip | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sardis | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Native Runner | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Naptown | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Yinzer | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.