Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Anthonian | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Pants | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Bali | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Money | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Scottish Storm | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Palagio | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Andy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Protective | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Didn’t It Rain | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Purple and Gold | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Voyage | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bit of Frost | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Volatile Nite | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cloud Number Nine | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Grammy | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belongtothenavy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Real Nice Surprise | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Complex Trick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Laughnowcrylater | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overstatement | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bettera | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Look to the Cross | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Dinero | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polar Bear Plunge | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ultimate Strike | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Batter Up | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tingus Pingus | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caprio | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tully | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Red Speedo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | C. P. A. Jim | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Psalmist | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Is Okay | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Otzelberger | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled’s Map | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bagg O Time | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonwalk | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Stepnoski | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Consequential | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Brock’s Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tisum | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Aguila Negra | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trident Hit | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inexorable | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eastside Cool | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eye Witness | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Castle Island | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Manfredi | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Saffer | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outlier | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magnolia Midnight | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blast Furnace | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abbi Fede | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Founders | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crystal Hill | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Power of Will | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Sovereign | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Feeling Grand | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kicking Clear | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bisou | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tapitown | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Sliceof Heaven | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She Called | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Go Go | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No What Ifs | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Sure | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tickin Time Blonde | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canal Street | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belle Ofthe Dance | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mountain Bear (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cameo Performance | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gilded Craken | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | English Chunnel | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wyoming Bill | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Naptown | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Native Runner | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yinzer | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Trip | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sardis | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Stoked | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.