Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ribbonsinherhair | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mikey’s Jewel | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Penny Polka | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judith’s Cross | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Reign | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s Kiss | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lachicafortequila | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Violent Affair | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alma Pura | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forest Acclamation | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forgotten Gift | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | He’s in Charge | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Al Ameeq | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Undalay | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Heights | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Mamba | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Man Woody | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mogalu | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mahomes Money | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cornwall Boss | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bolt Del Marea | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Import | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Its All Gravy | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Jo Jo | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Andy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kalatua | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Workhard Playhard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | American Unity | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cloud Music | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fatima’s Blessing | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maxwell Esquire | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keithsendshelloooo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rock the Stars | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Damir | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Rockin | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Hunt | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mailman Money | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Harvard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Et’s Magic Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Crabcakes N Beer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Howler | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crusader Rabbit | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valhalla Vixen | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Old Bay | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Princess | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warriors Jewel | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rock the Rainbow | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Matadora | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Undertone | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Pluma | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Golly Msfolly | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girvana | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fantasy Affair | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thula | 2.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Au Courant | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kinda Clever | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Minister Confessor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Country Embrace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hidden Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | She’s the Rage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tortuga Coast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sassafrassness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Promisemeanempire | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Code Name Willow | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantis Queen | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fiveclocksomewhere | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vanilla Sundae | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Naked Eye | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Flicker | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dwelling Legacy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mudslide | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer’s Comin | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drink This Cup | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vieux Carre | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burner Account | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heaven’s Got Fire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s My Chew | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tojo’s Mojo | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Epitaph | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buzz Adams | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just for the Money | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Sebastian | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.