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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 9, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 After Party 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Maker and Sons 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Just Like Max 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Compressed 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Mercilesanihilator 6.00 2 4-1
9 9 Fistfulofmoney 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Cuzin Roscoe 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Smols 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 American Bear 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Don’t Ghost Me 1.60 1 2-1
9 9 Coffee Talk 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Alias 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Fracture 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Cadeland 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Super Ms 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Texas Splurge 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Just Call Rip 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Nash Potatoes 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Motown Dynamic 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Jubilant Joanie 2.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Sassy and Bold 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Adiva 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Little Blaze 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Divine Gal 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Scoot Along 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Smart With Heart 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Weighted Average 1.60 1 2-1
14 14 Abundant Love 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Twolatebabydoll (FR) 4.00 2.3 4-1
15 15 American Debutante (IRE) 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Caviar Breakfast 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Don’t Look Now 8.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 El Zain 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Queen Dancing (GB) 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Click Here 15.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Miss Pharaoh 20.00 10.7 20-1
13 13 Eenymeanymightymo 20.00 10.7 20-1
11 11 Playa Azul 20.00 10.7 20-1
1 1 Perfect Union 20.00 10.7 20-1
3 3 Oraia 20.00 10.7 20-1
16 16 High Breeze (FR) 20.00 10.7 20-1
4 4 Roiling 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Beach of Dreams 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Lady Faye 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Ranting and Raving 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 My Secret Dreams 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Golexgo 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Woodruff 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Authentic Angel 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Tia Lupe 20.00 10 19-1
6 6 Annabelle B 20.00 10 19-1
7 7 I Mean Business 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Operation Sunrise 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Litigation 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Can’t Deny It 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Mischief River 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Cheval de Guerre 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Warheart 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Big Boat 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Jet Sweep Joe 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kayla’s Komet 1.60 1 2-1
9 9 Measure 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Melody Maker 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Taylor Time 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Sea Zest 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Atropa 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Bisclavret 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Midnight Flight 20.00 9 17-1
3 3 Alas 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cima de Areco (ARG) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Malleymoo 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Reagan’s Flame 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Cheetah Lady 6.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Cairo Street 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Partir (FR) 12.00 6.2 12-1
14 14 Johanny 15.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Foreseen 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Queen Judith 20.00 10.6 20-1
4 4 Make the Boys Wink 20.00 10.6 20-1
9 9 Stephanieswarrior 20.00 10.6 20-1
15 15 Ask Amanda 20.00 10.6 20-1
16 16 Bijou Baby 30.00 16 30-1
6 6 Maxisuperfly 30.00 16 30-1
12 12 Musical Note 30.00 16 30-1
13 13 No No No Never (IRE) 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Pursuitneversleeps 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Multiverse 4.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Voila Magic 5.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Tre Italiani 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 G T Five Hundred 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Be You 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Hymn 10.00 4.2 8-1
14 14 Busk 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Amor Patriae 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Mo Quality 15.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Stiglets 20.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Terrapin Station 20.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Rule Sixty Two 30.00 14 26-1
4 4 Dreaminblue 30.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Likely Perspective (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hand It Over 4.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Ride the Broom 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 McKinzie Magic 6.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Sweet Star 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Musical Prayer 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 My Little Wildcat 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Baytown Butterfly 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Fancy Fascinator 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 I Am Beautiful 20.00 9.8 19-1
1 1 B D’s Angel 20.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 Bridgie Bop 20.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 Echo Road 20.00 9.8 19-1
14 14 My Kathryn Rose 20.00 9.8 19-1
15 15 Miss American Pie 30.00 15 28-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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