Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Annie’s Joy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Airo Dinero | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Missy Gurl | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Claire June | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Utsira | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin Lucky Again | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All American Lady | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hollywoodboulevard | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prime Number | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Vapor | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Feelinluckytonight | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Princess | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let Your Love Show | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | R Two R Badfit | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Two R Badbaker | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hail’s Tribute | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bougie Like | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Photoshopped | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | West of Town | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Day | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Tristan | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Hot Shot | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buck Pie | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leavenodoubt | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gospel War Cry | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Janes Girls | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Gold Rush | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sandy Creek | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Fancy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gospel Expression | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Drinker | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Echo | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seattle Wildcat | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Get Frosty | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jet Pack | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honeycrisp | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Circle | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spoonin Shuga | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moro Princess | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Pelican | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Lollie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Girl Flint | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Damascus Road | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jackman | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luv to Win | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Super Brady | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Campfire Creed | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Good Good Boy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slick Country Boy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bling Mountain | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Call Me Ice Man | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mega Shack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | After Burn | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clay’s Black Opal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Go West Go | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Austin Cruise | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strato | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fire in My Sul | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboycents | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coalcowboy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redemption Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Go Cats | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cashmeup | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenville | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chaperone | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justice Department | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drinks At the Club | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yo Soy Roy | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hattie Jane | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mendelssohns Comet | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Into Sense | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alisal | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faye’s Gold | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gospel Judy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Woman | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Cafe | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Depencier | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rebel Child | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Free to Be Me | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.