Site icon Sports from the Basement

Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 10, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Derek’s Law 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cocktailsnkringle 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Magni 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Neon Bordeaux 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Nantz 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Fever Night 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Launch Control 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Van Vollenhoven 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 King Puck 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Not for Hire 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Master Freud 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Nano Man 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Stormy Birthday 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Uncle George 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Roofer 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Army Proud 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ridolfi 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Ob La Di Ob La Da 1.20 2.8 5-1
3 3 Liberty Rising 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Eighty Gold 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Dominican Thunder 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Aetherium 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jurisprudence 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Ennis Town 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 English Castle 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Lachaise 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Hamilton’s Way 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Kulapat 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Salt Spartan 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Adventurist 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Trinity River 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Orie 3.00 1.9 3-1
3 3 Hello Newman 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Pazz the Soy Sauce 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Wind Dancer 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Strobe Light 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Big Timer 10.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Charlestonsphinest 15.00 9 17-1
9 9 Until Last Call 15.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Sammy C Note 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Trust Issues 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bear Claw Necklace 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Uncle Jim 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Three B’s 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Capt Jax Parrow 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Mozambique 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Surprenant Cocca 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Temple City Taboo 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lotus Petal 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Authenticate Now 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 From Hello 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Bunny Honey 15.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Vino Samara 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Island Fox 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Ruby Hamilton 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Widdershins 15.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Sheer Will 1.80 SCRATCH
11 11 Another Cleeshay 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Delightful Darling 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bramble Blast 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Belarosa 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Chatelot 6.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Immortal Poet (GB) 8.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Sweet Rhythm 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Endless Horizons 12.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Channelview 6.00 8 15-1
7 7 Time for You 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 The Happy Tree 20.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Raffinato (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version