Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Silver Redesdale | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gibson | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Dept Calling | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Equal Force | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonovermontgomery | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Muncle | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | All Saints | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Randy Daytona | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gorostieta’s Love | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Cause | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thisguycanfly | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Butchy Boy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Randemonium | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Honors | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duke de Vere | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Benjamino | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Connection | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In the Gray | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Golden Keen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justlikelouise | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whisper Me a Smile | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stella Guitar | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Simple | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Little Miss Curlin | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Simply Grace | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Sweet Deal | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Sugar Factory | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flora Bound | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hint of Promise | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artic Sailor | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Run Bambi Run | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glistening Gal | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uno Pea | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightening Mo | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pasila | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goldzone | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be a Bandit | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | R T’s Gem | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Your Life | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talksalot | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lexington Diva | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saberfight | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Janet | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mardi Gras Alarm | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Carmelina | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foreign Tourist | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Geaux Sugar | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sharp Charlie | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grazen Boy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brahms Boy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loudermilk | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Bert | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doublediamond Deal | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Detective Bernardo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Boy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gatsby’s Fortune | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Everloving | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Dream | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Map Needed | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful Star | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easy for Me | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kindling Embers | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Leona | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gimme It All | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Toni’s Inferno | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inchhighatahundred | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beach Blanket | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flash N Class | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heavenly Deal | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tonteria | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Josh G | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sophie’s Painter | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Verdict | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lost Da Vinci | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rose Hill Rocket | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ain’t Got a Clue | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delphine | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Route | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slim Causeway | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Walk Alone | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maiz’n Money | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Indian Girl | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Cigarette | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Santa Maria | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.