Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Busk | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Turn Up the Trees | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shape Note | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empire’s Best | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kunshan Bridge | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Born Flawless | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ludwig | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I Am the Game | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chambourcin | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ashkenazi | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cinnamon Sugar | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blazing Freedom | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Seeker | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Front Runnin | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond N Dress | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Espresso | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Satisfied Mind | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Valor | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Super Mo | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amazing Amanda | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Turkish Pistachio | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girl Named Knicki | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Munny | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful McKinzie | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Killa Sally | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paradiseperfection | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bolt Dior | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucy’s Legacy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lady Ashanta | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King Anthony | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Right On Right On | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truly Legit | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Salt Lick | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Gentleman | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Buddy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lobo Salvaje | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call the Cavalry | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavy Hitter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Antique Silver | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chief Lady | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Progeny | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caltha | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Cruella | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simply Complicated | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Phoenix | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daring Hope | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Promises to Dance | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Samarita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane Debbie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Knickleandime | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Camila Catalina | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Endless Glory | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Nora | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sudden Squall | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justice Addition | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crevalla de Vil | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of Queens | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tallahassee | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Lotta Tempo | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Noulikeabook | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Struck At Midnight | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fleetingly | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vina Arana (IRE) | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sheila’s Lion | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Joury | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heart Spin | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hay Stack | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Game | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Annelle | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cha Cha Chukka | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unmerited Favor | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freak City | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bijou Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Celtic Charm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Faith Understood | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Be Together | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Vino Vici | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Further Ado | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beale Street Boy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Authority | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ambassador Blue | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brave Force | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alghero | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Apollo Eleven | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highly Connected | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Caliber | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Federal Agent | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Timberline | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fuzzbuster | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Swiss Army Knife | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Trust But Verify | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sycamore S.) – Sycamore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Utah Beach | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ohana Honor | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Sonata | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Anglophile | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Trip Home | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goldeneye | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reiquist | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Desvio | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | San Siro | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Il Siciliano | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mercante | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bolt On the Rocks | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daisy Duke | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Up the Creek | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brunch With Amy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Give Her Another | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risuko | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cowgirl Chic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Atarah | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Miss Elle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.