Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Turn Up the Trees | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shape Note | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Busk | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ludwig | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Born Flawless | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empire’s Best | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kunshan Bridge | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Am the Game | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Satisfied Mind | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ashkenazi | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blazing Freedom | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinnamon Sugar | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Seeker | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chambourcin | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Front Runnin | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond N Dress | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Espresso | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amazing Amanda | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Killa Sally | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Turkish Pistachio | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful McKinzie | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Super Mo | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Valor | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucy’s Legacy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bolt Dior | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girl Named Knicki | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Munny | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Ashanta | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paradiseperfection | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Truly Legit | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Salt Lick | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Buddy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavy Hitter | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Right On Right On | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call the Cavalry | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Gentleman | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Anthony | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lobo Salvaje | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane Debbie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Promises to Dance | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Antique Silver | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caltha | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chief Lady | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Progeny | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daring Hope | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Samarita | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Cruella | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simply Complicated | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Phoenix | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Justice Addition | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Struck At Midnight | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Endless Glory | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knickleandime | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sudden Squall | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Nora | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Noulikeabook | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Camila Catalina | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Lotta Tempo | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tallahassee | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crevalla de Vil | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of Queens | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vina Arana (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fleetingly | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cha Cha Chukka | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unmerited Favor | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hay Stack | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Celtic Charm | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Annelle | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bijou Baby | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Be Together | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Game | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Joury | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Heart Spin | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faith Understood | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freak City | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sheila’s Lion | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Vino Vici | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Further Ado | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Authority | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ambassador Blue | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trust But Verify | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alghero | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beale Street Boy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brave Force | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timberline | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fuzzbuster | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Apollo Eleven | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Caliber | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Swiss Army Knife | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Federal Agent | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highly Connected | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sycamore S.) – Sycamore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Utah Beach | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Sonata | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goldeneye | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Trip Home | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ohana Honor | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Anglophile | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mercante | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | San Siro | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Il Siciliano | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desvio | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reiquist | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Atarah | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risuko | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daisy Duke | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brunch With Amy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bolt On the Rocks | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Up the Creek | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Give Her Another | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Elle | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowgirl Chic | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.