Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flame Rock Fire | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runner Runner | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U Rascal U | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eagle in the Air | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Staniel Cay | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Isle Call U Later | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Taco | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stephen’s Believen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | High Adventure | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wonderrand | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lightofmaine | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Max’s Redemption | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | For Harper | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Jeopardy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Ridge Queen | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Marks Legacy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pineapple Willy | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Get Trae | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mingling Mo | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Cruiser | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wildly Wicked | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scar Ship | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parole Drama | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zip Around | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Take the Hint | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hadean Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dickie T | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Lassie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Kristen | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sis Boom Bob | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wupkar | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Love | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Custom Sunshine | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good N Sassy | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Myspittinimage | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She Has It All | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Madelyn’s Hit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Metoyer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Blu Moon | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Encore d’Oro | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kara Flash | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K K’s First Dance | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gatsby’sgreenlight | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maggies Mission | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dewey’s Soldier | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Magnolia S.) – Magnolia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Secret Faith | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Norah G | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Megans Millions | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rising Inflation | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nodah | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Free Like a Girl | 1.80 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Molto Vino | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beleout | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spamalot | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motor City | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Same Play | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Runner | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Contrabandist | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Barron | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Porches | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Adopter | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Gold Cup S.) – Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Letmikefigureitout | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Touchuponastar | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good and Stout | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Highland Creek | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Throwin’ Shade | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | House Bourbon | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doctored Deal | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tdzshininluckystar | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Allnight Moonlight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Myglorybee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | He’s Just Lucky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | B Minor | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scallywag | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jim Ned | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Veracruzin | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Reg | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Confucius | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | F J’s Flaco | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cookn Wit Catman | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heat Lightning | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Brad | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Incredible Shot | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Insignis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.