Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Gnome |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Don’t Even |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cielo |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rebel With a Cause |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Bees |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Ramajay |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fitzgerald |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fatguyinlittlecoat |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Orville’s Map |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gallant Aces |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chatterfield |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eleos |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blythes Ferry |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Kunan |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chance |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Focusyn |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Silver Halo |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Megastar |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Clear Echo |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Corman |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Memes |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Geno’s Myth |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
13 |
13 |
Woodspoint |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Midnight Boss |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Air Cav |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rancho |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Rancho Santa Fe |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Infiltrate |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grand Mahogany |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gloves Off |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vamos Ya |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Court of Appeal |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Knick the Quick |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
So Special |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sleepingonfreedom |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Non Conforming |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
12 |
12 |
State of Attack |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jolted |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Race Ready |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Kingofsomewherehot |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Turnback |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gentleman Jim |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Undertaker |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Patriot Moon |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Crypto Cory |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ledbetter |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aguila Negra |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Triskelion |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
16 |
16 |
Miss Soothsayer |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
13 |
13 |
Yaudacity |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Jancis |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
High Street Pizzaz |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Belle of Liberty |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Map of the Moon |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Super Dreamy (IRE) |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nelson’s Penny |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pleasing |
20.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brandie |
20.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
11 |
11 |
Glazin’ Fury |
20.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
14 |
14 |
Lost Chord |
20.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
15 |
15 |
Runs On Dreams |
20.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
8 |
8 |
Malanya |
30.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
12 |
12 |
Blackwing |
30.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Hillerito |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
One Magic Philly |
3.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Easy Red |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zadorsky |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Win N Your In |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Marmalade Skye |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Liuzza |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pistol |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Xtreme Diva |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Valentinian |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Johny’s Rendezvous |
4.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chapman’s Peak |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Warlander |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Longbranch Lou |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Write Off Jerry |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Fort Thomas |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wish Carefully |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Domingo |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fayette Spirit |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
13 |
13 |
Azoi |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Wakan |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Blue Coast |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Gin’s Beach Road |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stilettos |
4.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Anakarina |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Princess Proud |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lynn’s Milky Way |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shezafunkydrummer |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mega Mil |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rosato |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moon Mystique |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vekomancer |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Queen Elizabeth Ii Challenge Cup S. Presented By Dixiana) – Queen Elizabeth Ii Challenge Cup S. Presented By Dixiana
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Laurelin (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fionn |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Opulent Restraint (IRE) |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lush Lips (GB) |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Destino d’Oro |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Simmering (GB) |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Candy Quest |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Daisy Flyer |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Will Then |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Countthebrave |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dive Bomber |
4.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Remi’s Moon |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Uncle William |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sinister Smile |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Did It Dialed |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pineland |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Good Lord |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Air of Defiance |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ravens Dream |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Utopian |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thrilla |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.