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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Never Ambling (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Artic Power (IRE) 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Legal Heir 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Chosen Son 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Prank Zappa 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Poor Connection 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Iron (FR) 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Irish Element 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miracle Ball 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Theresasilverlinin 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Madeira Wine 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Big Celebration 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Valkyrian (IRE) 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Buds N Suds 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Vancougar 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Thirty Two Chunk 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Potito 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 The Rabbi 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Bolt Supremacy 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Smiling Tizzy 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Mutt Dillin 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Del Mar Jerry 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Firmus 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Westwood 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Mining District 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Clooney 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Happy Sprinter 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Reno 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Burning Rubber 3.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Beneficial 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Dirty Words 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Golden Surprise 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Salient 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 B Grayson 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Kiddo Light 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 Vino Amante 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Super Corredora 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Misstrial 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Sounds Lucky 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Total Val 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Bank Shot 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Roccabella 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Dats Ms. Blame 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (California Flag H. Presented By City National Bank) – California Flag H. Presented By City National Bank

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lovesick Blues 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Shea Brennan 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Man O Rose 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Flyover 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Book Smart 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sir Rocket 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Cali Cat 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Stamp My Passport 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Imnotvanillasky 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Blame It On Abby 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Kiss Me Coco 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Final Table Lady 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Victoria’s Jewel 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 A Great Shaking 8.00 2 4-1
10 10 Fairlawns Way 10.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Can You Dream 15.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Pasalubong 30.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Aguila Azul 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Old Pal 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 City Exile (GB) 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Henry Adams (IRE) 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Lammas (GB) 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Aligato 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Packs a Wahlop 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 British Isles 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Lahaina Flavor 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Phosphorescence (FR) 15.00 5 9-1
10 10 Maniatic (IRE) 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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