Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Culasse | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meilani | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scotch Mist | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pina Colada | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lapin de Plage | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On My Time | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Town | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glasweigian | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday’s Well | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiernan | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Westminster | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bucyk | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joe West | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Time Zapper | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Bond | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master Steal | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Perfect | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proudly Canadian | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swift Attraction | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Swan Lake | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | This Dude a Breeze | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Media Sensation | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grande Soiree | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | C C’s Kingdom | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sherif Ali | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Break the Spell | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Romantic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secret Threat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frac Right | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paintthetownsilver | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backonthechaingang | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He Shoots He Wins | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wagner | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Time Passes | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo’ Spresso | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Influence | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lover Boy Mo | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Munnystruck | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Memories | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Conacher | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Globetrotting | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Armino | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Putt | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Graffiti Writer | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fourlegsgood | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dare to Be King | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Play | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.