Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chiringo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Macron | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Panic | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Got No Munny | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princip | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Priority Lane | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captivated Drama | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pinfire | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncashed | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Payne | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alternate Reality | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unlimitedpotential | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Justify | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shotshell | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Swede | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Tifeye | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parking Lot Pours | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldenageactress | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Planet Clare | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mizmalice | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Ny | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden Degree | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greek Heiress | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Birdie Rose | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Battleshipper | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | September Magic | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Arlington | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Camila Run | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Go Jack Go | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hafu | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Fenn | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Springhawk | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barstool | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamofyou | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Alter Boy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tims | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secreto Uno | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Zapper | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allequin Summer | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Sierra Power | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wood You Dare | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chiquita’s Way | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ayra Stark (ARG) | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss Blue | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Suite | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poppy the Princess | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cozee Rags | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vinos Angel | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Statement Made | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bonne Sante | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tam Tam | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Nycon | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rose of San Antone | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin Robin | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cord of Hope | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tramuntana | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Essential Coffee | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | More Sweeter | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Live Life | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Of All Things | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Call Me Precious | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Holly’s Holiday | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mechaya | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tales of The Heart (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dangherecomesshang (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bundchen | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lost and Found | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Epic Style | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Laurice | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Stay Classy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Emma | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’z the Law | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Judith | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bunratty Manor (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Dream On Stormy | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Speighter Woman | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cotillard | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heylookmeover | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.