Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carry Grant | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kevin’s Strike | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Song | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bag O’Loot | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Wish | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blacktie Gift | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Authentic | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast N Sweet | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Center Stage | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girlfromouterspace | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Titoschangedmyluck | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Temptation | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Mule | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tomarie | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sirenetta | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bold Baby | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Wiggy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss M M | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Could Be a Cougar | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldcrest | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Waitwaitdonttellme | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bon Fire Diva | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Solemn Oath | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onthisharvestmoon | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rolls Royce Joyce | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Honor Roll | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haunting Echoes | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreaming of Bella | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellanova | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Halory | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior Bunny Zee | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hi Heeled Warrior | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Louella Street | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Avatal Hero | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amy Mule | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Chamita | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond a Million | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Miss | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bunny Bonus | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One of the Ones | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mollewantacracker | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ambitiously Placed | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Popover Gal | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ree Nee’s Six | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Merrychill | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Like Beth | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mended We Stand | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Petey Motto | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bootleg Runner | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quaker City | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grey Bull | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monster Max | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom’s Echo | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mia Tosca | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warrior’s Ransom | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Groove | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mavilus | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miles of Smiles | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautifulcrazygirl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Payout Ratio (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Excellorator | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Glimpse | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jamie Dreams | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Analog Jones | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Margie’s Fun Son | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Expensive Cut | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Got Swagger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Booted Up | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curious Soul | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moving to Kentucky | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deportivo | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jackson’s Legacy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mavis Mischief | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redoubtableripken | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whoosh | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Island Spirit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Coach Clint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.