Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Naymar | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lover Boy Ness | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gonzalo | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sin Sin | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moral Power | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paynted Lion | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donut Dust | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dissolute | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Temper | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Arwen | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bugged Out | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Maiden | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amirati | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olive Kat | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Melodia | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Lancer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pump It Up | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quahog Republic | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alphadini | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soo Handsome | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Frame Up | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Little Caibo | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amor Gitano | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jo Bee Brat | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nitro Special | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Chill | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unforgettable Lord | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Happyflyer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chase a Dream | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Votre Sante | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bearing Down | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kuz It’s Chilly | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Hooh | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jake’s Affection | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guilted | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Authentic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lyric Street | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trick of the Light | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Save the Union | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Gal | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hit Song | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maddie’s Notion | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dona Luna | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forget Tomorrow | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lost in Thought | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Raven | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sheppton Sisters | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goonie | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Key Witness | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jake Rocks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inter Miami | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Aint No Joke | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Phil’s On the Run | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fight Fiercely | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Loose | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mean Tweets | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Book Marker | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prom Knight | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fayathaan (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ikigai | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pylon | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Getaway | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Card Trick | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | California Tiger | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dylan’s Ruby | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Amity Road | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trevesso | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Forever Chocolate | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Crunchy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost and Confused | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kalahari Not Sorry | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Brighty | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Admiral Mo | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Word for Word | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chuck Adams | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wish for Peace | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lonely Ride | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yodel E. A. Who | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crabcakes N Beer | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scar | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Denying | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aspiring Comedian | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keeping It Country | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ascendance | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Forward Move | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cathedral Beach | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Genghis | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunset Town | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afraidofthebunny | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amusing Mischief | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mogalu | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Heights | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.