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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Perfect Deal 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Alltail 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Campout 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Acadiana 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Mopac Traffic 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Frisee 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Lundigrasmambo 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Kisses for Cooper 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Donegal Clan 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Grand Academic 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Hap Hot 1.80 4 8-1
3 3 Mr McGregor 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Cowan 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Sign of War 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ready to Purrform 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Orleans Tourist 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Deacon Jones 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Lightning Twirl 6.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 He’s Ready to Win 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Cajun Moviestar 15.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Housequake 2.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Nathan Henry 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Silent Ruler 15.00 5 10-1
9 9 Rescue Squad 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Collect Now 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Pocketful of Money 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Blesseduponastar 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Top Notch Protocol 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dayofthewarrior 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hurricane Kate 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 2 El Gansito 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Bennie Bee 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Velocity Storm 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 World Renowned 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Rockin’ Lilith 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Golden Quality 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Peso Pesado 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Feathers Road 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Sarah’s Vision 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Fort Bonz 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Wilton 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Johnnysjourney 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Bello Creedo 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Easy Big Boy 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Wicked Rose 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Insignis 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Kajun Karma 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Diamond Empress 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jaydyn Cat 12.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Debbies Passage 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Dolly’s Guitar 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 C C Short Drive 2.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Raise the Alarm 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 One Line Ruler 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Lady Cheryl’s Song 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Lassie Bee 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Viv’s Wild Aces 3.50 7.1 13-1
11 11 Two Jet 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hay Jude 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Louisiana Jess 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gem Buoy 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 A Million Moons 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Chad’s Flashy Ways 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Game Port 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Hard Line 4.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Crigler 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Summertime Peppers 20.00 10.3 20-1
12 12 Baileys Bro 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Majority Opinion 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hawija 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Otter Creek 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Z Star 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Flashin Chip 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Safe Bet 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Temple City Run 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Cajun Blast 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Bad Brad 10.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Joseph H 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 He’s Super Wicked 12.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Billy Bowlegs 6.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Baby’s Last Dance 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Nonchalant 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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