Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shezafunkydrummer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mila Rose | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mezcalifornia | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo for Us | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s No Angel | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mascara | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Ginger | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Squall | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Matty’s Baby | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Loving Mischief | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Topic Thunder | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Christy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thousand M P H | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Run Mama Run | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sacred Prayer | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Wanna Go Home | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wrong Shoes | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Tizzlin | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lel Ditty | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nonstop Vino | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 6 | 6 | News Too Serious | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crown of Violence | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wind Sand Stars | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Lovely Summer | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Into the Beast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Forefathers | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colossus | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Albus | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Brady | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Confessional | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mimicry | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Grand Slam Sam | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corona de Oro | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meanstepper | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Landry | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Comes a Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sinister Smile | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Bruiser | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon’s Fault | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Floodlites | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Evan On Earth | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Magic | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Attersee | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Riddle Solver | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matt’s Luck | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibrew | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Confront | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Vesture | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beer Run | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Worker | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Our Starry Night | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Hit That Review (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glacial Power | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rowdy Riot | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Happy Cat | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pharoah’s Dynasty | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Amoudi Bay | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brie’s in Town | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bunratty Manor (IRE) | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hard to Say | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Math Tutor | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Kapur | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Circle Tap | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chip Honcho | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fuzzbuster | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thunder Buck | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lighter | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sure to Appeal | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Liberty National | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rochester | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flaming Rainbow | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Talmadge | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Resilience | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Army Officer | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stowaway | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gasoline | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mackman | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Society Man | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winnemac Avenue | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Speed Bias | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Groveland | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unload | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Archie the Giza | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | National Eclipse | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pappy’s Revenge | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Proctor Street | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Lilac Rolla (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | For Flying (BRZ) | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Public Defender | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nanabush (ARG) | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strikingly Spun | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Watch This Birdie | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Ellie | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Breezing Along | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scarlet Sands | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Floating Beauty | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Golden Irish | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dozen Diamonds | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tizntshelovely | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Fury | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Split Success | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J Rivers | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truthorconsequence | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Awe of Juju | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | She’s Not a Joke | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eskenforaraise | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rando | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grace On Grace | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.