Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silsbee | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nina Kay | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Intentious | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpine Giant | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Last Knock | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watdoyousay Jose | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Kidding | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bourbon | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Turriga | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirteen Red Flags | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Life | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Fern | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Banker | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always Honest | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Three Two Won | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Essentially Fast | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Brooklyn | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moneybags Milton | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pinky Brier | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taparoo | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cathedral Aisle | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Devine One | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Lizzy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luciana’s Honor | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shining Silver | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Miracle | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Le Gris | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trikari | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wynstock | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Activist Investing (GB) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catch a Wave | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vesting (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Quality | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dear Dad | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dominican Pioneer | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Paladin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Credit History | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gordy | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Renegade | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hedge Ratio | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geostoblame | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Illusion | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Scheme | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Cop | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Egyptian | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Dragon | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carlin Contention | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Shepherd | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kaz Ice Changer | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Barrie | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daytona Moonshine | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Exploration | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Social Hour | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tarpaulin | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charlie’s Express | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Plate | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbroken Chain | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aero Star | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Irish | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavyweight Champs | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trust Fund | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Notah | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On the Level | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cultivate | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ican | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silo Ridge | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mike’s Magic | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Derek’s Law | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Life Story | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tapwrits Temper | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nano Man | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Marcus Gift | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Korrongo | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Film Academy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Browne | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pandemic Hero | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Dance | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broderick | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.