Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sergeant Capps | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Into Inspiration | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Spin | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party With Smarty | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Filter | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sports Hero | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In the Tank | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Man Matty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brave Buck | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Complex Music | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ride Up | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dads Good Runner | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | First Trumpet | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Moonracer | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Badlands Ruler | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indianquest | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sol d’Oro | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forward Deployed | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poca Mucha | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Just Music | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Louise Procter (FR) | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Purloin | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Luna Moth | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pookie | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Siyouni Flash (FR) | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luckforyou | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tongue Twister | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sail With the Wind | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearwater Beach | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Higher Force | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inamorata | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stella Mars | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Straca | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tralee Girl | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Grace and Grit | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rodeo Star | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Snow | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Beauty | 8.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Backcheck | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amundson | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Graywing | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmies Big Day | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fitzpatrick | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winter’s Ghost | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | For Some Reason | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honorary Degree | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muazarah | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Carle Place S.) – Carle Place S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Evidence | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Out On Bail | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Steve | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spiced Up | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cairo Caper | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forged Steel | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Pit | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landing Craft | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cyclonite | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Noble Damsel S.) – Noble Damsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Weigh the Risks | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tipple | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Gambolini | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sparkle Blue | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tax Implications (GB) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aussie Girl (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edict (ARG) | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coni Fizz (ARG) | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feather Boa (SAF) | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crescendo’s Rein | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Man in Finance | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Pour | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empire Sky | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Share the Ludt | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leo’s Reward | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roofer | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle George | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Autumn Days S.) – Autumn Days S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Danse Macabre | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Toupie | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dontlookbackatall | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lifelovenlaughter | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Roswell | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | St. Benedicts Prep | 2.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Jam | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Do Gooder | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rileys Redemption | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cavalier Cupid | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truth and Beauty | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Johanny | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.