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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 19, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Party With Smarty 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 In the Tank 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 No Filter 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Into Inspiration 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Free Spin 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sergeant Capps 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sports Hero 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Man Matty 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 King Moonracer 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dads Good Runner 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ride Up 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Brave Buck 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Indianquest 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Badlands Ruler 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 First Trumpet 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Complex Music 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Poca Mucha 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Luna Moth 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Purloin 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Just Music 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Forward Deployed 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Luckforyou 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pookie 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sol d’Oro 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Louise Procter (FR) 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Siyouni Flash (FR) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stella Mars 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sail With the Wind 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tongue Twister 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hello Beauty 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Clearwater Beach 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tralee Girl 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Straca 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Inamorata 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Backcheck 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Grace and Grit 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Saratoga Snow 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Higher Force 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Rodeo Star 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Amundson 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Prince of Joy 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Graywing 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fitzpatrick 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Honorary Degree 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Winter’s Ghost 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jimmies Big Day 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 For Some Reason 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Muazarah 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Carle Place S.) – Carle Place S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spiced Up 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Out On Bail 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 No Evidence 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Forged Steel 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fire Pit 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Cairo Caper 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Landing Craft 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Global Steve 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Cyclonite 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Noble Damsel S.) – Noble Damsel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sparkle Blue 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Tipple 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mrs. Gambolini 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Weigh the Risks 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tax Implications (GB) 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Aussie Girl (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Edict (ARG) 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Feather Boa (SAF) 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Coni Fizz (ARG) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Uncle George 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Empire Sky 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Crescendo’s Rein 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Leo’s Reward 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Long Pour 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Share the Ludt 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Man in Finance 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Roofer 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Autumn Days S.) – Autumn Days S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cavalier Cupid 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 St. Benedicts Prep 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dontlookbackatall 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Danse Macabre 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rileys Redemption 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lifelovenlaughter 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Johanny 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ready to Jam 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Roswell 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Truth and Beauty 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Do Gooder 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Toupie 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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