Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rockingham Joe | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surf’s Up | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elon | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Huggy | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Firmantown | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stewball | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Built by Khozan | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luca Machine | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Basic Truth | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Sniper | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Not So Holy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Issano | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brindano | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | City Panda | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twice Gold | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buthespretty | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heart of Gold | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Magica | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tight Line | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queens Fable (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lorraine (FR) | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Abundant Love | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Protective Custody | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seger Songs | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Khokela Miss | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Langleyswaterfall | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Henry Gondorff | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Firestreak | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Railroad Inn | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Cardinal | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Furious George | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dave the Great | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tom S | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World On Fire | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jose Can’t Say | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leonardini | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Forever Souper | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | There Are No Words | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eff Thirty Five | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hittheroadjak | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fulmineo | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wow Whata Summer | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hunter Joe | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quick to Accuse | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Feeling Woozy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz the Great | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Little Nico G | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Darkness | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Kid | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Palacios | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gonna Make It | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greyline Station | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moderno | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patuxent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lakeside Getaway | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Buzzaway | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divining Smile | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mariano | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Princess Clemmie | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honorable Chill | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heybackatcha | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bella Estrela | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | T C Neigh | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chublin | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hazelmoor Beach | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kobe’s Smile | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Serene Kathleen | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lord’s Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Birdy Whisper | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Boy Bud | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Ham Sandwich | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Randy Said So | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Lang | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lux Et Veritas | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rivermont Dr | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Bobby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mark of Greatness | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stop Watch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sal’s Blue Jacket | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Corinna | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hold Your Breath | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amie’s Symphony | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flowers for Me | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Beauty | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Amazing Mizzen | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rosieontheriver | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cha Cha Tap | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ginger Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Party | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Charm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunny Breeze | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dean Delivers | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paradise Valley | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Petingas Twin | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | S S Sinatra | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Cents | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Karan’s Notion | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Worcester | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Seven’s Eleven | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Northern Flame | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Faster Gator | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quamash | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dats Tap | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Potcake | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Efficacy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Italiano Kid | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let Fly | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Band Tour | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Flush Hearts | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Last of Bad Boys | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Future | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Long Straw | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | War Thunder | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Thunder Cry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
