Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Empire | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confabulation | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First of His Name | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flat On | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funny Uncle | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Knox | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Collect From Ike | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Don’t Stop | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fiddling Felix | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 98 | Thorsness | 0.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kavanaugh | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apalta | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Metatron | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Private Flight | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Extrasensory | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Porosity | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sittin Chilly | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Vector | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backtrack | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smilensaycheese | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dialbolico | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mackville | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zakat | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Senor Pickles | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Landman Friday | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Boondocker | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Real Savvy | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Desperate Proposal | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | I Can See That | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Gotta Guy | 3.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cognoscenti | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spinback | 5.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Come Full Circle | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Express | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mission Hill | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bulldoze | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | New Matthew | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Oath of Omerta | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ready Set Twirl | 15.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Landauer | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Black Rose | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Always Ready | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alma’s Law | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | South Philly Slide | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Never Heather | 5.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Credit Risk | 2.50 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Andi | 3.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catholic Vice | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor the Numbers | 8.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Medium Cool | 6.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avery’s Wonderland | 8.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greyjoy | 8.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bashful Baby | 5.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marajoline | 10.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doppio Espresso | 15.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Copper Caduceus | 6.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Speed of Sound | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take Me to Londyn | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chocolatechocolate | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Helen’s Revenge | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Margaux Treasure | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blenheim Baby | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | That’s Funny | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Itwillbefun | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Farm House | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auroralinna | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Right to Win (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mythical Man | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baron of Sealand | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mr Flowers | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Ranger Battalion | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gene and Jude | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hedge the Risk | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm the Streets | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | House United | 1.80 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Frizzante | 3.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gem Mint Ten | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Heathguard | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Denile | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outtawaterbury | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bay of Bengal | 6.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Life and Light | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Fire Agate | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just One More | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Ashdale | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Summer | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On a Summer Day | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Addagirl Addie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Purest Performance | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Low Low | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Delilah | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Brokealltherules | 4.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Heavens Lee | 6.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kissed by Karma | 15.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vietti | 12.00 | 15.1 | 29-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charmeuse | 10.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tizallmine | 30.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Gorgeous | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.