Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Manage Xpectations | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eyes of Gold | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Animal Fries | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Acclaim | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Salty | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tarragon | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Makenna | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Onmywaytosavthday | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classic Glide | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noroomformischief | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Struck At Midnight | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greatest | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Click | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lexico | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cairosa | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Denise Says No | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Azteca | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Napoli | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lambo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honest Al | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | McIlroy | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redacted | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brave Blend | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Caliente | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guardian | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nacho Bar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Clear the Beach | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Post Game | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cant Stop Munnings | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Saikali | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mary’s Lad (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Money Man | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapoport | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tap Me a Song | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Courageous Clay | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Outofpi | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bestball | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bessamay | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mr Bobo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ice Wolf | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | En Fuego | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Proudly Hailed (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Theoretical | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joke Maker | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Touch of an Angel | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coco Connect | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty Mojito | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Starbrite Starlite | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mojo Promise | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sticker Shock | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Rainbow | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cearnach | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queenstown | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hoakalei | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Powered by Family | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | All About You | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Flaming Mama | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | One True Shance | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legalize | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Distorted Pro | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Catch | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beeline | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hailstorm | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keep It Easy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surly Furious | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Suncroft | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Classify | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sister Troienne | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Back Ring Buzz | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Two Girls | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sadie Earp | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bert’s Knoty Girl | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Red Beretta | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nickel Saver | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Memorized | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dame Laura | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Screen Test | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War Madam | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Undisputable | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Diablo Shiraz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Prestigio | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nu What’s New | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hogie the Player | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Good Mojo | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Valiant Humor | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Calling On Heaven | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Homer’s Odyssey | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Arthur Jr | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barker | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spellmaker | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Garry | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Titanium Man | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Super Ms | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cinister Cix | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Classic Rock | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.