Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Keep On Coming | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shoot the Nickel | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Kartrite | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secured Lender | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turn and Count | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapwrits Temper | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Radauti | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Salvation | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disclaimer | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Improbable | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suspiciously Named | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In the Dark | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atomic Age | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up for an Oscar | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Team of Rivals | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pistol Liz Ablazen | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beira | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It Takes Heart | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coquito | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Florida Flower | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My First Love | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Echo in Eternity | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whistler’s Style | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Best Impression | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sight to See | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Cool | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stress Reliever | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enigmatic | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rodeo Star | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brooklyn Dantz | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runway Lights | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dolce Sera | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Danneel | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Diliello | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Escape Hall | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fort Griffin | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B Raging On | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Helmet of Will | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grumblyrumhogan | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Ducks | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skip Forward (JPN) | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Love | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Raging Sea Captain | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Considerate City | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Raynham Hall | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Atenea | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Neshika | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rose Lisa | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Credit Risk | 2.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Starship Ava | 3.50 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coach of the Year | 5.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amicus Curiae | 30.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Prayer | 12.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jetties | 6.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Intothewilderness | 15.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joropo | 15.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Banco Di Sicilia | 30.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Be Golden | 20.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Magic in My Eyes | 4.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Purpose | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Higher Force | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capital Gal | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Daylight | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cara’s Dreamweaver | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grace and Grit | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Backcheck | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tough Love Torres | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kyla’s Kause | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Parade Ring (IRE) | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Anticipation | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Stamp | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnightloveaffair | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leslie’s Star | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Serene Spirit | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aerialist | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Tammy’s Cruiser | 3.50 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bembridge Ledge | 2.50 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mac to Moore | 6.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Second Chance | 15.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fifi La Fume | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
