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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 23, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Secured Lender 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Turn and Count 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Keep On Coming 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Shoot the Nickel 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sir Kartrite 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Tapwrits Temper 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Radauti 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Up for an Oscar 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Disclaimer 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Wicked Improbable 3.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Salvation 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Team of Rivals 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 In the Dark 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Suspiciously Named 12.00 9 17-1
4 4 Atomic Age 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Beira 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pistol Liz Ablazen 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Coquito 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 My First Love 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Echo in Eternity 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Whistler’s Style 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 It Takes Heart 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Florida Flower 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sight to See 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 She’s Cool 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Enigmatic 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Best Impression 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Stress Reliever 6.00 2 4-1
9 9 Runway Lights 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Rodeo Star 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Brooklyn Dantz 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Dolce Sera 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Danneel 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Two Ducks 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Escape Hall 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Diliello 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Grumblyrumhogan 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Helmet of Will 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 B Raging On 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Fort Griffin 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Skip Forward (JPN) 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Bold Love 15.00 10 19-1
10 10 Raging Sea Captain 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Credit Risk 2.00 1 2-1
12 12 Starship Ava 3.50 1.8 3-1
16 16 Magic in My Eyes 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Considerate City 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Coach of the Year 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Jetties 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Atenea 8.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Neshika 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Rose Lisa 12.00 6.4 12-1
13 13 Raynham Hall 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Morning Prayer 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Joropo 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Intothewilderness 15.00 8 15-1
14 14 Be Golden 20.00 10.6 20-1
2 2 Amicus Curiae 30.00 16 30-1
3 3 Banco Di Sicilia 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Higher Force 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Grace and Grit 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Capital Gal 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Purpose 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Backcheck 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Cara’s Dreamweaver 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Chasing Daylight 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Bembridge Ledge 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Parade Ring (IRE) 3.00 1.4 3-1
14 14 Tammy’s Cruiser 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Kyla’s Kause 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Leslie’s Star 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Mac to Moore 6.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Serene Spirit 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Midnightloveaffair 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tough Love Torres 8.00 5.1 10-1
13 13 Fifi La Fume 12.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Second Chance 15.00 10.3 19-1
9 9 My Anticipation 15.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 Gold Stamp 15.00 10.3 19-1
7 7 Aerialist 20.00 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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