Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Waver | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arsonist | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday Presence | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honeycrisp | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Very Unlikely | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Checker’s Song | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Precious | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Freely | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wartime Hero | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love Pack | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twelve Volt | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Larry | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Moonlight | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clements Ride | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benny Buckets | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Giveitaspin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mirror | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Merry Mary Lou | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Civilianaire | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Society | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girls Knicks Now | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | One Mor Rose | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Cowgirl | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Free to Be Me | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Lass | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Northpark | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Dixie Belle | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dig Baby Dig | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pass Line | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Gold | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ship It Red | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Appleseed | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weird Year | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Playing Hardball | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Two Worlds | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gold Member | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Neom Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’sskysthelimit | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peak Earnings (GB) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thunders Rocknroll | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Davina | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Optimistic Cowgirl | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Rose | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Express | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thetruthisthetruth | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Imaluckycharm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Secured | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lightsoutscarlett | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Katies Spirit | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sheri’s Prada | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cabo Cowgirl | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Find the Light | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Say as I Say | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Presleys Turn | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Light a Shuck | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Foolish Affair | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Now Hear This | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Kisses | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Rockitretta | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lottery Ticket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Queen Clancy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Haleakala | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Protocol | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Twirl | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expect a Patriot | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blackjack Mary | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deadly Beauty | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jlofactor | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Canoga | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Let Him Be | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bron and Brow | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Immelmann | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Sanders | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vale | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Saturdays | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mi Saturday | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Under Contract | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brahms Image | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin the Dad Bod | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Landlord | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Night Passage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gigante | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocelot | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saline River | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Creative Minister | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Without a Trace | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Happy Strike | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Dawn | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carlea’s Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Big Bernie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Team Leader | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.