Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mo Town Gold | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | West of Town | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Am What I Am | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Flatter | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Okie Bandit | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Passed Promise | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Howboutcha | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Native Storyteller | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sandthefloor | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cody the Kid | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Engine Ninety Nine | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mud Creek | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mitole’s Limit | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Box a Rocks | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fine Tuned | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Spark | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cabo Mischief | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smackdown | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Crew | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Final Decree | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flash Humor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tresillian | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Light the Code | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missing Code | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In Bond We Trust | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tucker Flats | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leviathan Axe | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wrinkle Road | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Risky With Whiskey | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wristband | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Brave Okie | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One Time Mark | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Gunner | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Message | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turquoise Blue | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stoney Brick Road | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Mischief | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mohaymen Holiday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Successfulpath | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy’s Revenge | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Star Parking | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Accelerate Judy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Sarena | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yvonne’s Miss | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chief Lady | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookatchu | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icy River | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Singing Emma | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Light | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stage Left | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | J. P. Race | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Dancer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Threefiftyseven | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prayforpeace | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Strike Ridge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mikel W | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Second I D | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ryvit | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | General Shipman | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dean’s List | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zavala | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Favorite Outlaw | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hezakoolkat | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Not a Lady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Pink | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toddy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Penny | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Taylor | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scattered Mischief | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Double L’s Army | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Alisal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Kween’s King | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Pass Posse | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Rap | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Max | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gospel Up | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fully Funded | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Appeals Last Ride | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Merlin the Red | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bearly Distracted | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Midnight Talker | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Nikolai | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Stoops Tornado | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Choctaw Cat | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flatter Me Daily | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Snazzy Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Gospel Don | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.