Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tik Tok Daddy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oleg | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Corrected Pedigree | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agent Kelly | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blessings Bestowed | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Legendary Thunder | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Artist | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thirty West | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Count Is On | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Basic Truth | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Elon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Salvo Trigger | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shear Magic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Artist Mark | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Who Says So | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lovemeakaren | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Daufuskie Island | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Wolfman | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pit Stop Man | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Citizen K | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pudge Boy Palace | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Renegade | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Heights | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbonator | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keen Surge | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Better Watch It | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Tone | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blackthorne Brusca | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Chunk | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hacksaw Ridge | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valleyshark | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Balance of Power | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Bold Licorice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Your Mission | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sneaking Suspicion | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ky Thirty Won | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bourbon Outlaw | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Basic Miles | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | White Blue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | On a Proud Note | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Youmakemecharlie | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anotherhope | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ade | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bond’s Belle | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kitty’s Pretty | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Collected | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oops Haha | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fitness | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweeterthanwhiskey | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flame Dancer | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gastown Babe | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Notable Exchange | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Casa Juanita | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Biscuitwiththeboss | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gourmet | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Souper Amusing | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Query | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Police Woman | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Carolina Sun | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fleur Delacour | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rapido Rosa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Thunder in Paris | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Queen’s Wreath | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Obliging | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spidey Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hell Ofa Hillbilly | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bonsai Warrior | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Worker Bee | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blue Forty Two | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Jubalee | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Max Capacity | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flyin Hawaiian | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Our Day Will Come | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hollywood Import | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Supreme | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mose Smokin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | White Lilacs | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Javoncia | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inanna’s Quest | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solving Progress | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bali Kuta | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Tell Kelly | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Memphis Showboat | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spoils of War | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mainstream Sellout | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maximo Madness | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heleonortiz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Churning Berni | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caitlin the Great | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love You More | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tejanita | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Opal | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chilly Girl | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby Street | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Billionaires Row | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saxton | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Won an Award | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Mister Lincoln | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Idea | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vamos Viejo | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Z Og | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dowagiac Chief | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pealing Lad | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Skyloft | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tenebris | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Quick Tempo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Uncle Dar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Bolt of Aurum | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zero Blitz | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Master | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Optical Bijou | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Synchronicity | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodbye Note | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Manor House | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Mule | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top Blood | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Reteko | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Redemption Speight | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Hero Code | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Commack Kid | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oxford Union | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Renfro’s Reception | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winegold | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Madefromliona | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doug’s Triumph | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.