Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rehearsal (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justivar | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Song | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blame Eve | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nakota (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Global Consort | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildfire Princess | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Authentic Grace | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bazooka Charlie | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Gypsy Cowboy | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Contrary Chieftain | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Grazy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kerry Gold | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pass the Baton | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brunchandcrunch | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Austonian | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midland Money | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elwood Blues | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kingdom Heart | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mbagnick (CHI) | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bartholdy | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Schwarzmeier | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | For All Mankind | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Manitowish | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Island Home | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Authentically | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rabid Response | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Like the West | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dats Ms. Blame | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fortunate Truth | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Grace | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Street Talker | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Cheese Olive | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Don’s Smiling | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Howbeit | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Halo Uncle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Carol’s Comic | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Morello | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | The Key Is Unity | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Bucket List | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 98 | Bobby’s Alibi | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Momo’s Kiddo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 98 | Haywood | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Shady Appeal | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | Elegant Life | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Throwthefirstpunch | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Tiger | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cal’s Goal | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Joey Where’d It Go | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flash of Lightning | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Hawk | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Almost There | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Blue | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Filkins | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beeblebrox | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ride the Tiger | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Bradley | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Another Bulleit | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Scatalotadingdong | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smoove Over | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Rapper | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daddygaveittome | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Clear Behest | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Celestial Skies | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Believe in Her | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s a One of One | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Going Great Guns | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Free Nomination | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Danzing Zella | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Rouge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Que Bella Luna | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Autumn Miss S.) – Autumn Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Slick (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lee’s Baby Girl | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Innovative | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warming | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Precise Timing | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firenze Flavor | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wink and a Grin | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Thousand Miles | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take A Breath (GB) | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Aza Tack | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doncic | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jerry’s Spirit | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Club | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baladi | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Four O Six Creed | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard to Figure | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devil Be Me | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Patron d’Oro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wound Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Dare to Fly | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tequilaandtherapy | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Yellow Sun Dress | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Skatingthroughlife | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Wild Grazer (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gypsy Woman (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Charter (GB) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Shezmisbehaving | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Princesa Moche (PER) | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Chai | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shamrockin | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Queen Sienna (ARG) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.