Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Union | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Walkinaftermidnite | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Open Flame | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Armaleese | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Breeze | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blush With Joy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sell the Buffalo | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Y City | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Skip the Line | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Uncle Leon | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gucci Boy | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Home Visit | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Path to Success | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Chaos | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. B Cause | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Safe Bet | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Snazzy Gal | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Expect a Guitar | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Welcometohazeville | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pitchatizzy | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | That’s the Deal | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Makeithappen | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All You | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Landlock | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Boston Elle | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Day Storm | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Customs | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | In Your Life | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talksalot | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eli’s Girl | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Carmelina | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Janet | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foreign Tourist | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ann’s Storm | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Be a Bandit | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pattern Bet | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Exaggeration | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Golden Bling | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Xcaret | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Darlene | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brave Ollie | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gastown | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’smysmokeshow | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sienna Breeze | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Blaze | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Moves | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Incredible Shot | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Begforforgiveness | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chupapi Munyayo | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Speedy One | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lo Lo’s Laughter | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Scallywag | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Four Dice | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tonteria | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Karaoke | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingscote | 4.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Thimble | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saint Gabriel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Causeway Benny | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nopenottonight | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Boss Soss | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Late September | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gamer Nate | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mangum | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tdzshininluckystar | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doctored Deal | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sonya Knows Better | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pegaso | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Night Stick | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Calculated | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dewclaw | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Sexy Zong | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freddie by a Nose | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Xanthus Wrath | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aller Vite | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawaiian Argument | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | White Ice | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saberman | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stone Alliance | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Josan | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.