Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King’s Leap | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Senegal | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toga Dan | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Tiger | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Concorde Spirit | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solo Empire | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Resilient Hero | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Tempted S.) – Tempted S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secane | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shilling | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Believable | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spa Prospector | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Day to Day | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Top Gun Rocket | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exact Estimate | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crushed It | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheriff Bianco | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Prince | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Investment Mandate | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Beta | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Titan | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Majesty (GB) | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Ways | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Proud Foot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Problematica | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Defended | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackson’s Dixie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cocoa’s Vivian | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie the Joker | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Return | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edistrudis | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Enlighten | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Skylander | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tut’s Revenge | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Brew Pub | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ruse | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tabeguache | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Paddock Pastor | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bay Street Money | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frank’s Art | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Laird of Magnolia | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Lister | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scat Tu Tap | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Momentum Files | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hellacious | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fiddling Felix | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Policy Change | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Billy White Shoes (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dew | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sequential | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snare | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Into Inspiration | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Private Flight | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | How About It | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Party With Smarty | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joker On Fire | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Geez Eloise | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Cookie | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adrian | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | M J’s Yoshida | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Air | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tower Twenty Two | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Looks First | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen in the Deck | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Pumpkin Pie S.) – Pumpkin Pie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Weigh the Risks | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nic’s Style | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scalable | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patricia Ann | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alani | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St. Benedicts Prep | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taliesin | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Volleyballprincess | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maggy’s Palace | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Quality | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Salt Princess | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | River Empress | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mariposa Moon | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Magical | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doppio Espresso | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kef | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tapit Back | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Valiant Diva | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karey | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mappy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Noisetomakenoise | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Bad Habit | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.