Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | My Southern Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Madame Markievicz | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timeformargaritas | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Juan | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Route | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Surprise Sunrise | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Picosita | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kisses for Cooper | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onedayatatime | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Never Walk Alone | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lundigrasmambo | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brand Bois | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bet Towinit | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean Jet | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Cheer | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tap Galore | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shamay | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Love | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gracie Diamond | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Be Back Again | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Sweet Deal | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Woman | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What a Hangover | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Warrior | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Just Simple | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Deeana | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Q | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Educated Wish | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mission Belle | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Destiny | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Floating | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easy Bet | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Town | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gee Gee | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lexington Diva | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rhum Saint Esprit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kinsman Redeemer | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Backfire | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Ramirez | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steel Argument | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Redesdale | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby’s Last Dance | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Josan | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Temple City Run | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pacificislandtime | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play Mo | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Ami | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peso Pesado | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunday Breeze | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muffin Nuts | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Them Justin | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cabro Toro | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Comanche Warrior | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Heist | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lauri’s Wish | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Brother | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iron in the Fire | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sivako | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sonya Knows Better | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jeffrow | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | McLaren Vale | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Life Is a Banquet | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uxmal | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Loudermilk | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Rojo Vivo | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Socks | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seasonal Love | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paynted Blue | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Konawa | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Didja | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Rumor | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flashy Lover | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Liam and Alan | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hudson’s Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muncle | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zippy Toga | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blume | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A True Target | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Native Requite | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kee Jee | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rexinator | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gibson | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischevious Robert | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Beaudean | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misterholyroller | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.