Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kitten Gloves | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wanna Go Home | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bective Abbey | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oaks Street | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nonstop Vino | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Summer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Presumida | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Seal Bay | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Consequential | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Herbs Bolt | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gosh Sakes | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Federal Agent | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Ice | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Tough Road | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Linebacker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | South Bend Tom | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brave Blend | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Attersee | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You Belong Here | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Il Cavallino | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Chalk | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Where Y’at | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Vengeance | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aerate | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ando | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Free Advice | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wartank | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Call Rip | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Reinbow Factor | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Alden | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aubrey’s Max | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Weighted Average | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Palace Girl (GER) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You’re So Vain | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McKinzie’s Glory | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rodina | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emmy Blue | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Somerville | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pollinator | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Poverty With Aview | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smokin Hot Blonde | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Zain | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Farm Team | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Dancer | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Purse Thief | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tis Charming | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wind Rider | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Total Heart | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cannon | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Boss | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clear Echo | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ohoopee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aye Bay Bay | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agua Fresca | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Angel | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ashkenazi | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glancing My Way | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Sam’s | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dos Amores | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chiquita’s Way | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Montador | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maui Strong | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blast Furnace | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Global Asset | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Johny’s Rendezvous | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Rocky Joy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Carcano | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Maximum Promise | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enterdadragon | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Midnite in Finley | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Show of Force | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fredo | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ambition | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Thomas | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wakan | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | The Hidden Chamber | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | White Whale | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Globalist | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galantini | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Studeny | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Game and Smart | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thirteen G’s | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nash Potatoes | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bossofmi | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flick | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ifyouneedmecallme | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.