Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Delicate | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sofster | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charm of the Song | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alyvia’s Girl | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Dutchess | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mexican Sugar | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirited Ride | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reassess | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Desert Aire | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carry Grant | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Song | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Changing the Karma | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No More Sins | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast N Sweet | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Sneckdraw | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sunny Magic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keeping the Faith | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Penn Franklin | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pastero | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Authentic | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daw Samaa | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ortho Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chris’s Revenge | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Okie Den Den | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twenty One Kid | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucchesi | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regalpains | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Jones | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s a Shore Thing | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Grace | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | West Side Diva | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Spice | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Al Gimaam | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breezethrutime | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Expect to Be Ready | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Megan’s Noel | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Koutoubia | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond a Million | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Chamita | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Miss | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bunny Bonus | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hi Heeled Warrior | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Union Purrfection | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Inmortal J | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Moving to Kentucky | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson’s Legacy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | God Is Life | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Travel Guide | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zihuatanejo | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watch Hill | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fourty Four | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Dosser | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Dollar | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beyondexpectations | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quasi Warrior | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marvelous Mo | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mike’s Magic | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Willisau | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Authentic Kingdom | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Factor U and Me In | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harp’s Hot Corner | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Respirator | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ninja Prize | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grahmalamadingdong | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Action Hero | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rebel Invasion | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mission First | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bring Me a Check | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Yo Leven | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shudabeenacowgirl | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rama Bama Lana | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Treasure Peace | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lumenique | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | She Can Scat | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Melittlefrostgirl | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D’oro Road | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nouveau Riche | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flaming Eyes | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Savannah Georgia | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Holy Kingdom | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.