Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Collect the Data | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast and Frisky | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midtown Lights | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Embraceable Gal | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mitole’s Girl | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Monetary Monarch | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ah Ca Ira | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweetest Princess | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bergen | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Operation Torch | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gaslight Dancer | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vacation Dance | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cyclonite | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cuando | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Launch Control | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Landing Craft | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tunisian Spring | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Loco Abarrio | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Big Hat Willie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Trust Issues | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Takeschargesmiling | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ridgewood Runner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tizmarkus | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Dwyer S.) – Dwyer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tip Top Thomas | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disco Time | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crudo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stars and Stripes | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream On | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Light Forever | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Pumpkin Pie S.) – Pumpkin Pie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nic’s Style | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Weigh the Risks | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scalable | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St. Benedicts Prep | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patricia Ann | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Volleyballprincess | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taliesin | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maggy’s Palace | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | South Philly Slide | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Belarosa | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fraudster | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Rhythm | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Sixty | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Channelview | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chatelot | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Take Home Gold | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Give Your Best (IRE) | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brockcasso | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Dreamy (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | A Moment a Love | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Ripple | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamlike | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chileno | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Re Markably | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commuted | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Waitlist | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tracking Error | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Georgia Magic | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Hill Prince S.) – Hill Prince S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stars and Strides | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mayor of Midnight (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Confessor | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Dashing | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Church and State | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thundering | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soleil Volant | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lazlo | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Griffin’s Wharf | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Newlyn | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Make a Prediction | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jack’s World | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B Provocateur | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hellz Kitchen | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snickery | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kotlikoff | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leave Me | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Frosty | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tranquil Sea | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Marsh | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mosconi | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Royal Riddle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Talk to Me Jimmy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | True Adirondacker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Speedstre | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mother Goose S.) – Mother Goose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Zest | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fully Subscribed | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cue the Duckboats | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drexel Hill | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Being Myself | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | So There She Was | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Azteca | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ourdaydreaminggirl | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Filly Freedom | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Long Island S.) – Long Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beach Bomb (SAF) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Show Sammy Jo (GB) | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Way to Be Marie | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alluring Angel (GB) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grayosh | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amber Cascade | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alimara (FR) | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brocknardini | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Firefoot | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fun With Flags (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Purloin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bernietakescharge | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Immensitude (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.