Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sea Vista | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzou | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Discotheque | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ripped | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rothko | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valiant Humor | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vasa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mamoot | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honest Al | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McIlroy | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fifth Avenue | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soco and Lime | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Echo | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bolt Dior | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Named Knicki | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Nora | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’tmindifido | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paradise Street | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Biscuit | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Kendl | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | First Player | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deer District | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calycanthus | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | De’ Medici | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fireball Birdie | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raising Kane | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smoken Boy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A Lilac Rolla (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stylish Sue | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adrasteia | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reagan’s Flame | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strikingly Spun | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gran Mirella (ARG) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breezing Along | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Air of Defiance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slip Mahoney | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ludwig | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Cool Dude | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Background | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Blaze | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J J’s Joker | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pike Place | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Couperin | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Born Flawless | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outlier | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nabokov | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stellar Vino | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mitty’s Griddy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Terrapin Station | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk It | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | On the Level | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fielding | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon’s Fault | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Warden | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timing Difference | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Lord | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Petronella | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dagmara | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wonzee Weather | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fatima Blush | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Belle of Liberty | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breaking Hearts | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tap to Give | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taylor Time | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empress Sisi | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Serralunga | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noshametohergame | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Super Dreamy (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Red Rainbow | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mystery Date | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss My Heart | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lotta Alpha | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kalahari Dreams | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gardiner | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speed King | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jack’s Time | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Politicallycorrect | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | U Devil You | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischief River | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Force | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Dream Supreme S.) – Dream Supreme S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | R Disaster | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Halina’s Forte | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hillerito | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mink’s Palace | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jersey Pearl | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taliesin | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sudden Switch | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marmalade Skye | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapit Quick | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (River City S.) – River City S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chasing the Crown | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lagynos | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Corruption | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Encino | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Taking Candy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Ride | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mercante | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tapit Shoes | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quatrocento | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mount Rundle | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | English Chunnel | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.