Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Discotheque | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ripped | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valiant Humor | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzou | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rothko | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Vista | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honest Al | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamoot | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vasa | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Echo | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soco and Lime | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fifth Avenue | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McIlroy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Don’tmindifido | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bolt Dior | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Nora | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Named Knicki | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paradise Street | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Kendl | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Biscuit | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fireball Birdie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Player | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | De’ Medici | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deer District | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smoken Boy | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raising Kane | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calycanthus | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stylish Sue | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Lilac Rolla (IRE) | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strikingly Spun | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reagan’s Flame | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breezing Along | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adrasteia | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gran Mirella (ARG) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ludwig | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Background | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Air of Defiance | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Blaze | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Couperin | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pike Place | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nabokov | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stellar Vino | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Cool Dude | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outlier | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slip Mahoney | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Born Flawless | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | J J’s Joker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mitty’s Griddy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Warden | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon’s Fault | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Terrapin Station | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | On the Level | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Lord | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Timing Difference | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Risk It | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fielding | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Petronella | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empress Sisi | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wonzee Weather | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lotta Alpha | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss My Heart | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dagmara | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breaking Hearts | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noshametohergame | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mystery Date | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fatima Blush | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Serralunga | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tap to Give | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Belle of Liberty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Taylor Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Red Rainbow | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Super Dreamy (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gardiner | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Force | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kalahari Dreams | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jack’s Time | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speed King | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischief River | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | U Devil You | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Politicallycorrect | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Dream Supreme S.) – Dream Supreme S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | R Disaster | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hillerito | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mink’s Palace | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Halina’s Forte | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jersey Pearl | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sudden Switch | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marmalade Skye | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tapit Quick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Top | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Taliesin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (River City S.) – River City S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Corruption | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing the Crown | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Encino | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mercante | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Taking Candy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lagynos | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quatrocento | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | English Chunnel | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tapit Shoes | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mount Rundle | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Ride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.