Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Longbranch Lou | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Navy Cross | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Give Me Liberty | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ticking | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin At Roses | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fredericksburg | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Downing Street | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Striker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vino’s Valentine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | To the Max | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dogwood Crossing | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What It Tiz | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mully’s Moon | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He Be Hoppin | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jaker | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goldinthesky | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Great Empire | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flatter Fanatic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Five Eyes Onmichel | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Gone Sally | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slender Slipper | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J J Monet | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drink Deeply | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inallprobability | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Timeless Victory | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ball of Fire | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monster | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zevi’s Zone | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bronze Bullet | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Savage Warden | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Sam | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tinki Abarrio | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Any Moment | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Musical Design | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chloe’s Toy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Fantasy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | David’s Rose | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sophisticated Cat | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dove in Charge | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omo Ten Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classic of Course | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steppe | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roar of the Beast | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keep On Moving | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nothingsubtle | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McKellen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Supreme Honor | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hawk | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star of the Gun | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Teddy Bear | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Langvad | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bolero Bay | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win N Win | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Action Delight | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Equation | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sherman Fury | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alasdair | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carentan | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drink N Wink | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Crunchy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dimanche Gras | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Bagent Man | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clubhouse | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lace Up | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luni Sima | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Major King | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pet Mat | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Scatter | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent and Violent | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lee Ann’s Warrior | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zozan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Britni | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whatintheliteral | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Volatiled | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Poppy | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Militia | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Foggy Note | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laila Bella Girl | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girvin Star | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vivi Get Your Guns | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timely Reward | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nate the Great | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sigan Viendo | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Junction Road | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indecisiveness | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lights of Broadway | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shrug | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brawn | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Dancer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.