Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Happy This Day | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Promise | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | From Hello | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wise and Elegant | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Divining Smile | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kobe’s Smile | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | T C Neigh | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sea Shanty | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mariano | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Mama | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dance On Air | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Silent Melody | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Like a Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Why Not Grace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Birdy Whisper | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donut Dust | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tug | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sticktothesystem | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paynted Lion | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moderno | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Bobby | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Karate Island | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flatter My Dad | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Garage Beers | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hop On Top | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pendar | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skedaddling Home | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bolton | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winged Lion | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Best Artist | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chalk Talk | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Very Volatile | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Catatumbo | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hay Chief | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | States United | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bird King | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Hustle | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Martini Martin | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Passioned | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Competitive Saint | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Energy Efficient | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caerus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Javoncia | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turf Rocket | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atlas Strong | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bay Street | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cha Cha Tap | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Embrace Me | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Tell Deren | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Three Times | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mainstream Sellout | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swan Point | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Getaway Palace | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Solving Progress | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Worries Unfounded | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mun Mun Can Run | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mysunshinegirl | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hail No | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eachpeachpearplum | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feather Wish | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Brick | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Julia’s a Fox | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Be Da Shoes | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shiny Dime | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mine Completely | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ladsfirstlove | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lookie Here | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Workhard Playhard | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Respighi | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Andy | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rebel Prince | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crossingthechannel | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Finny | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ballinaclash | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mythical Magic | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hometown Bound | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | M D Fieldstone | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Smart Halo S.) – Smart Halo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just Philtored | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prosecco Rita | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollen Drive | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doc’s Miracle | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tipmanee | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slewperstitus | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Shenanigans | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Beach Heist | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wesawtaylorinparis | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (James F. Lewis Iii S.) – James F. Lewis Iii S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gurney Halleck | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lundi Loot | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Balboa | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Channel the Music | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Sweeper | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Max Capacity | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Springhawk | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wildncrazyguy | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hollywood Import | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sometime | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Cuddle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Destination | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valerie Street | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fifth Gear | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Autumn in Vermont | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mae Be Mae | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Brew | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Messy Lu | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish B Goode | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A Week With Grammy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Littlegirljustice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.