Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Ray D. | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’sskysthelimit | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Birdie Be Gone | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Angel | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cashmere Dancer | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywoodboulevard | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viewers Discretion | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Out Rose | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ready | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fayette Blue | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fella’s Sister | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rainbow Angel | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gettin Out of Here | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Verse | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Let Her Buck | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Hillary | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Because | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paula M | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mamashavnahotflash | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Aflutter | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cat Tale Sky | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rugged Sawyer Lee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Njustlikethat | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Tap Out | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Birdman | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sassys Code Talker | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Euro K | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Day | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel War Cry | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gonnabeagoodday | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double R Cat | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Be Judged | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Ticktok | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Di Risata Molto | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skipper | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eura Happy Hippie | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Nikolai | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Gato Americano | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gospel Don | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gospel Up | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kid Commish | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lumina | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marette | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jet Pack | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Eagle Vision | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Queen | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mucho Vapor | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vaquera | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Wilhelmina | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carat Seeker | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nachiko | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Pelican | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stir Up Desire | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Heats Hero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Said I Could | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stonington | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Town Hero | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kochan | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Falcon Quest | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awol | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southpaw Slugger | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bishop Creek | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Expensive Game | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Code Eleven | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Muckity | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobwhite Bobby | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Sacrifice | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Okie Smoke | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Storms Last | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Bill | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legacy Account | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Okie | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Code | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Last Moxy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Escalation Clause | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knock Knock Joke | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imperial Gun | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Grant | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Ruta | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stoney Brick Road | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizabling | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Big Un | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mischievous Intent | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hollywood Icon | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Private Equity | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Long Time | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Carcassonne | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Greasepaintgroucho | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Powder Keg | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bernardo | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Lengua | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snazzy Man | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zorro D’ Oro | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | World Chaos | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Just Another Dream | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Street Bless’n | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.