Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Ray D. | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’sskysthelimit | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Viewers Discretion | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Birdie Be Gone | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Angel | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Out Rose | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fayette Blue | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cashmere Dancer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hollywoodboulevard | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Hillary | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamashavnahotflash | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Because | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rainbow Angel | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let Her Buck | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paula M | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cat Tale Sky | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Verse | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Aflutter | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fella’s Sister | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gettin Out of Here | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Euro K | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Day | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rugged Sawyer Lee | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Njustlikethat | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel War Cry | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Birdman | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sassys Code Talker | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Tap Out | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gonnabeagoodday | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double R Cat | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gospel Up | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Be Judged | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gospel Don | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eura Happy Hippie | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Ticktok | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Gato Americano | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Di Risata Molto | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Nikolai | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skipper | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kid Commish | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lumina | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Wilhelmina | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Pelican | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mucho Vapor | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vaquera | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carat Seeker | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nachiko | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Queen | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Eagle Vision | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jet Pack | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Marette | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stir Up Desire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Falcon Quest | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kochan | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stonington | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Town Hero | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bishop Creek | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awol | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Said I Could | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Code Eleven | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southpaw Slugger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Expensive Game | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Heats Hero | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Papa Bill | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Muckity | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Legacy Account | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Okie Smoke | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Sacrifice | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobwhite Bobby | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Storms Last | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Code | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Last Moxy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Okie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Escalation Clause | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Ruta | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imperial Gun | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizabling | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knock Knock Joke | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Big Un | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stoney Brick Road | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Grant | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mischievous Intent | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | World Chaos | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bernardo | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Carcassonne | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Powder Keg | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Private Equity | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hollywood Icon | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Lengua | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Another Dream | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snazzy Man | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Street Bless’n | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Long Time | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Greasepaintgroucho | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Zorro D’ Oro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.