Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Night Striker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Padraig | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Waheela | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glorious Revenge | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rachael’s Wagon | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Bay | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arrakasta Izan | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Successful Carrick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pocket Speed | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Beat | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Screen Boss | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Shaman | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bee Me | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sammysaurus Rex | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Skippy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Something Fast | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Balboni’s Crew | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seeking Magic | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celestial Heart | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rum Talk | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nika’s Passion | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full Star | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Potato | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Essentially Gold | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Chancel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cabernaydo | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nonno’s Little Boy | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pet Sounds | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maximus Magic | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fairway to Heaven | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar It’s Eli | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gendragon | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Quality | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | So Called Vacation | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Georgia Rain | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ava’s Princess | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy’s Secret | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deanna | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Affair | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fly True North | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nile Passage | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kasumi’s Ghost | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Pal | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Munny | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Culasse | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lapin de Plage | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scotch Mist | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pina Colada | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heart Tap | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Practical | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady On a Mission | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Atlantic Beach | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Frosty Mojito | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maple Leaf S.) – Maple Leaf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blitz | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Clair | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | For Flying (BRZ) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Long Ago (GB) | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing N Dixie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sultana | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queens Command (IRE) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Izzy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mobula | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tandhoneywithane | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skylight Caper | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vrana (IRE) | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cloud Rider | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hymn to Her | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Is a Breeze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bessarabian S.) – Bessarabian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Les Reys (FR) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Cervere | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stormcast | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caitlinhergrtness | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Temper | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Serene Seraph (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A Little Frisky | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shotgun Wedding | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pondering | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bolt Enoree | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Canary | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Fox Givin | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uphill Dance | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Dolce Sopresa | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Ellen Jay | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Girl of My Dreams | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Hpibet Autumn S.) – Hpibet Autumn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Funtastic Again | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dresden Row | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swift Delivery | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paramount Prince | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loose Wire | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cameo Performance | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Map’s a Breeze | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cool Kiss | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jokestar | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Mo Town | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lost Ark | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wyoming Bill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Borealis Trail | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fourfiftyfour | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Two Sip Sally | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Home for a Rest | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Silent | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Give Me the Boots | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Takemybourbonneat | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kikitsa | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miramichi | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sounds Practical | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Salt | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Women | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anam Cara | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.